Lucas Puente

 

Recent Posts by Lucas Puente

  • Breathing Life Into the Wrong Patient

    Oct 20, 2009Lucas Puente

    skull-and-crossbones-150Student blogger Lucas Puente reveals good, the bad, and the ugly in the banking industry.

    skull-and-crossbones-150Student blogger Lucas Puente reveals good, the bad, and the ugly in the banking industry.

    Think of our economy like a bleeding patient, dying in the emergency room. The triage nurse comes in, evaluates the patients, and prioritizes their suffering, deciding who gets treated first. In the case of our financial system, the Federal Reserve saved the wrong patient: if a bank bailout was necessary it should have been focused on banks whose primary business is lending, which fuels the economy, not trading, which doesn't.

    Paul Krugman wrote an enlightening column in Monday's Times about the state of the financial industry. Among his more compelling conclusions: lending, "the part of banking that really matters," remains unprofitable and the economy will not turn around until this activity returns to normal.

    While trading, what Krugman calls, "the wheeler-dealer side of the financial industry" is profitable again, "lending, which fuels investment and job creation - is not. Key banks remain financially weak, and their weakness is hurting the economy as a whole."

    Take CIT Group, the embattled commercial lender who is a key player in lending to industrial clients, for example. In normal times, CIT provides financing for a variety of small and mid-sized industrial firms (70 percent of CIT's retailing clients have under $50 million in annual sales), with clients in wholesaling, manufacturing, transportation, aerospace, and many more. Like many in the industry, however, CIT has since come into hard times. On December 31, 2008, Treasury injected $2.33 million in an attempt to revive the bank. Unfortunately, this capital has failed to restore the bank to health and CIT has been on life support since this summer.

    While Goldman Sachs, which makes most of its money from trading, received a chunk of bailout money thanks to America's taxpayers, CIT, which provides capital to small and midsize firms, which in turn fuels economic growth, has been left to flounder.

    Despite CIT's continuously precarious outlook, its leadership has remained resolute in its quest to keep the company. Facing a near certain failure, the bank applied for participation in the FDIC's debt guarantee program in late July, but its request was denied. In a last ditch effort, CIT reached out to its bondholders, who gave the bank a lifeline by offering $3 billion in emergency financing. This deal prevented what would have been the fifth-largest bankruptcy filing ever. More importantly, this prevented the complete elimination of credit for CIT's 2,000 clients that sell goods to over 300,000 retailers. Mallory Duncan, senior vice president and general counsel for the National Retail Federation, put it bluntly, saying that without CIT, "suppliers don't have operating capital."

    Today, CIT is likely in its worst position since the summer. It reported a loss of $1.68 billion in the second quarter and has seen its stock price continue to hover just above $1, tumbling from over $60 in the summer of 2007.

    Thus, to lighten its debt burden and get another breath of oxygen, CIT proposed a restructuring plan last week that would swap new notes and preferred stock for holders of over $30 billion in bonds. As an alternative, Carl C. Icahn, a CIT bondholder and billionaire investor offered CIT a $6 billion loan on Monday that could end up saving the company $150 million. Neither plan has garnered much support, and many are once again saying that a prepackaged bankruptcy is the most likely destination for the bank. Michael Gallo, a partner and head of the finance group at the law firm DeCotiis FitzPatrick Cole & Wisler, said that the company was "just forestalling the inevitable."

    Given CIT's dismal outlook, either the US government needs to step up and lessen the load of CIT's balance sheet through the Small Business Administration's Loan Guarantee Program, or CIT's bondholders need to be more lenient and lower CIT's payments so it isn't forced into bankruptcy. Or another option is to have an outside group gobble up the bank and ensure its continuity of operations. Having failed to pay back its preferred stock or redeem its outstanding warrants, Treasury is reluctant to offer it another lifeline and the FDIC has already demonstrated its unwillingness to get involved. If CIT is pushed over the brink into bankruptcy there is no clear substitute for the businesses and clients that rely on it to keep their doors open, especially during the key winter months when many wholesalers gear up for the holiday rush. Without an ambitious action, we could be even worse off than Krugman foresaw, with a precipitous drop in lending to some of the biggest drivers of our economy and the biggest bankruptcy in the financial sector since Lehman Brothers.

    Lucas Puente is a senior at the University of Georgia where he is pursuing a double major in finance and international affairs. He is a member of the Roosevelt Institute’s Campus Network.

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  • Shoulda, Woulda, Coulda: Where the Treasury’s Loyalty Lies

    Oct 15, 2009Lucas Puente

    handshake-150Student blogger Lucas Puente reveals good, the bad, and the ugly in the banking industry.

    Here is a question that has been boggling my mind for a while: In protecting the financial system, should the Treasury Department be primarily looking out for the banks or the taxpayer?

    handshake-150Student blogger Lucas Puente reveals good, the bad, and the ugly in the banking industry.

    Here is a question that has been boggling my mind for a while: In protecting the financial system, should the Treasury Department be primarily looking out for the banks or the taxpayer?

    Unfortunately, what the Treasury should do has not mattered much throughout this financial crisis or we would have seen real financial reform and less no-questions-asked money doled out to Wall Street. It seems clear to me that the Treasury’s main concern has been the banks, sometimes to the detriment of the taxpayer. Moving forward, it’s imperative that the Treasury acts boldly in negotiating with banks participating in the Troubled Assets Relief Program (TARP) in order to increase taxpayer return on investment and boost the public’s trust in the financial system and its overseers.

    Yes, the Treasury’s TARP may have helped bring the financial system back from the brink of death, but it has been less successful in maximizing its return on investment (even one of Treasury’s best deals with Goldman Sachs looks second-rate when compared to Warren Buffet’s return on a similar deal).

    Criticism of TARP has reached a fevered pitch recently. Earlier this month TARP overseer Neil Barofsky pointed out how the Treasury Department may have misled the public into believing the Big 9 banks that received TARP funds were healthy. In fact former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson believed one of the banks (which has not been named) was actually failing. This was on top of the bonus-brouhaha over at American International Group, where executives received millions in bonuses even though the company posted losses and needed a government bailout.

    Now is the time for the Treasury to make a bold move by putting taxpayers first. We saw the positive impact that such an approach can have in warrant redemptions (e.g. the 23% return from Goldman Sachs) and we have seen the negative impact of the Treasury’s early repurchase deals, which were seriously undervalued.  Of course this boldness must not come out only as Treasury exits these deals, but also as it continues to enter into even more transactions. While some believe TARP will be winding down soon, the reality is that capital injections are continuing to be made.

    Last fall, the Treasury altered the parameters of TARP and began directly injecting capital into participating banks through a Capital Purchase Program (CPP). So far deals have been made with 682 banks, most of which traded preferred stock for taxpayer capital. In total, just over $200 billion in taxpayer capital has been injected into these banks.

    Even as more banks have been accepting taxpayer funds, some have begun to repay their TARP investments. The first series of repayments came on March 31 of this year, when five banks paid off Treasury’s preferred shares. Over the next nine weeks, 17 more banks paid back their shares, putting $1.52 billion back into Treasury’s coffers. Then on June 17, a big portion of the government’s invested capital was returned when 10 of the country’s biggest banks, including JP Morgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley, paid back a combined $68 billion in preferred stock.  Since then, however, only nine backs have repurchased Treasury’s preferred stock according to Treasury’s latest statistics, worth a total of $518 million. Manhattan Bancorp was the latest CPP program participant to have done so, having paid back its $1.7 million investment.

    As financial institutions and markets begin to recover and attention turns elsewhere, it would be easy for Treasury to begin easing its approach to these deals. However, doing so would be a mistake, as there is still $134 billion- and counting- in taxpayer capital outstanding. Moreover, the improved investing climate is largely a direct consequence of Treasury’s earlier actions; thus it only makes sense that they demand a proper compensatory return, just as any rational investor would.

    Lucas Puente is a senior at the University of Georgia where he is pursuing a double major in finance and international affairs. He is a member of the Roosevelt Institute's Campus Network.

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  • Feeding the Beast: Bank industry fills politico coffers, and Washington returns the favor

    Oct 7, 2009Lucas Puente

    sick-pig-150Student blogger Lucas Puente reveals good, the bad, and the ugly in the banking industry.

    sick-pig-150Student blogger Lucas Puente reveals good, the bad, and the ugly in the banking industry.

    Money talks louder than regulation, as we have seen time and again since the economic collapse began. From Ponzi-schemester Bernie Madoff to the outrageous bonuses handed out like chewing gum by banking giants, insufficient or absent regulatory policies have fed the beast that Wall Street has become.

    Acknowledging this, the administration and Congress have begun pushing for an overhaul of the regulatory infrastructure in order to prevent another such destructive crisis in the future. With a variety of players on board, including the vital support of the bulk of the American public, one would think that this legislation would be set for a clean passage through Congress.

    Not so much. The financial industry has been enormously active over the last ten years in "political advocacy" or as it is typically known, lobbying. The entire industry has dumped $961 million into the coffers of political candidates and their parties and spent $1.88 billion on official lobbying efforts since 2000. A substantial portion of this comes from commercial banks, which "invested" $154 million in campaign contributions and $383 million in official lobbying activities from 1998 to 2008. Lobbying is such a facet of Wall Street, in fact, that the entire financial sector employed 2,996 separate lobbyists, or over five per Member of Congress.

    Predictably, the biggest and most well known financial institutions make up the bulk of this figure. From 1998 to 2008, Bank of America spent $39 million on their government relations and campaign contributions, while Goldman Sachs doled out $46 million, JPMorgan Chase paid $65 million and Merrill Lynch topped all with a budget of $68 million. Yet even those numbers look insignificant when compared with Citigroup, which wins the lobbying prize over the last decade by spending $108 million. However, Goldman takes the cake for political influence over the past twenty years, as it is the second-leading corporate contributor (behind only AT&T).

    Now, the industry is cranking up the pressure even more. According to the National Journal Magazine, the American Financial Services Association (AFSA) is working in concert with their Congressional allies "to coordinate stakeholder opposition to the more onerous parts of the legislation." To finance these efforts and further extend their rallying cry, the AFSA is also soliciting donations of $15,000 apiece. Unfortunately, they're increasing their reserves by the day.

    Let's hope Congress doesn't give in to these efforts, but, as we've seen over the last year, Wall Street's investments in Congress often tend to work out much more as-planned than their now-infamous investments in over-the-counter derivatives. If that trend continues, we could be in for a big disappointment on the Hill, but more importantly, fail to adequately address our regulatory flaws, which got us into this mess in the first place.

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  • Chris Dodd's plan to combine federal banking regulators gets pushback from reform-busters

    Sep 22, 2009Lucas Puente

    man-on-money-150Student blogger Lucas Puente sees benefits to a super-regulator...

    man-on-money-150Student blogger Lucas Puente sees benefits to a super-regulator...

    Regulatory arbitrage is a dangerous  little Wall Street practice that, if left unchecked, threatens the stability of the economy. How it works: Under the current system, banks can shop around to find the most advantageous charter, which basically allows them to choose what kind of regulatory supervision they will have.  And with their future growth (or shrinkage) more or less tied to the number of banks they regulate, today's regulators have an unmistakable incentive to provide a permissive regulatory environment that favors the banks. Under this perverse system, it's simply not in their best interest to crack down on the banks they regulate. Actually, quite the opposite.

    Why? Banks will simply switch their federal charter to a more lenient regulator. This was arguably most obvious in the regulatory "strategy" of the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS), the home of 18 of the banks closed by the FDIC so far in 2008 and 2009.

    The Treasury department has proposed measures to address this problem in its white paper. The first idea is to merge the OTS and Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) into a new National Bank Supervisor. Second, the Treasury called for the proposed National Bank Supervisor, Federal Reserve and the FDIC to enact uniform regulatory fees. Finally, it advocated lowered regulatory fees for community banks in order to encourage them to have a federal charter. Simply by removing 50% of the options banks have regarding federal charters, the first measure would be addressing this issue. The second and third proposal would eliminate arbitrage based off fees -- a key initiative as, in addition to choosing their charters off regulatory lenience, banks often chose the "cheapest" regulator, whether that is their state regulator or one of the federal bodies.

    Treasury wants to blend two agencies into a bank supervisor, but Chris Dodd wants all four into one. Dodd, chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, proposes merging the four primary federal banking regulators (OTS, OCC, the Federal Reserve and the FDIC) into a super-supervisor, a la the U.K.'s Financial Services Authority. This restructuring would only apply to the regulatory duties of these entities, while the Fed would maintain its current role in conducting monetary policy and the FDIC would continue to operate its depository insurance fund. (Dodd is also behind the Consumer Financial Protection Agency).

    Naturally, Dodd's plan faces stiff resistance from industry leaders, inertia-prone members of Congress, and, of course, current regulators concerned with protecting their home turf. Demonstrating this opposition, Edward L. Yingling, president of the American Bankers Association, remarked that Dodd's sweeping consolidation plan is based on a model that "hasn't worked in other countries that have tried it and it faces plenty of opposition in Congress." Although the U.K. has taken in plenty of hits in the current crisis, even the American Enterprise Institute acknowledges that the FSA has distinct advantages due to its streamlined regulatory structure.

    Whether Dodd's bill is the right answer -- or the one that will pass -- is up for debate. The key is making sure that regulatory arbitrage doesn't get left out of whatever new system is put in place. The Beltway seems to be a place of astute amnesia, when it's politically prudent. Need we say "public option"?

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  • One year after Lehman, the need for stronger regulation is resoundingly clear

    Sep 15, 2009Lucas Puente

    downward-graph-150Student blogger Lucas Puente reveals good, the bad, and the ugly in the banking industry.

    downward-graph-150Student blogger Lucas Puente reveals good, the bad, and the ugly in the banking industry.

    On this day exactly one year ago, Lehman Brothers, an investment bank founded in 1850, declared bankruptcy in the early morning. Later that day, we learned that two of America’s most prominent financial institutions -- AIG and Washington Mutual -- were essentially on life support. Meanwhile, perhaps the country’s most well-known investment bank, Merrill Lynch, had sold itself to Bank of America in an abrupt transaction designed to prevent Merrill Lynch’s failure. And all this just a week after Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac had been placed into a conservatorship by the federal government, due to massive financial losses.

    We all remember, mostly, what happened next: Financial markets absolutely plunged, with $300 billion in market value disappearing and the Dow Jones Industrials falling 4.4 percent. Then the dollar’s value against the Yen plunged the most in ten years. In what I am certain will be one of the most impressive life lessons of my undergraduate years, my own portfolio fell 6.25 percent in the 6.5 hours the market was open.

    Adding to the uncertainty of this impending crisis, the Maestro himself, Alan Greenspan, went on ABC News to say that we were most likely in a “once in a century event” that may include the failure of more firms. And unlike those pronouncements about the brilliance and resilience of free and unfettered markets, about this particular event, he was right. We’ve since seen the collapse of Washington Mutual and 108 other depository institutions.

    Acknowledging this “historic” occasion, President Obama chose to focus his administration’s earliest efforts on financial regulatory reform. Delivering a speech in Manhattan’s Federal Hall yesterday, Obama highlighted the dramatic impact of last year’s events, noting that “[f]ive trillion dollars of Americans’ household wealth evaporated in the span of just three months.” He also articulated his intention to avoid another such crisis: “We will not go back to the days of reckless behavior and unchecked excess at the heart of this crisis, where too many were motivated only by the appetite for quick kills and bloated bonuses.”

    Yet the future of financial regulation hangs in the balance. The Senate Banking Committee and House Financial Services Committee will likely take up this measure in the next week or two, with legislation likely to build off of Treasury’s white paper on the subject. While this document provides a solid foundation, led by the creation of a Consumer Financial Protection Agency, many of us are hoping for more teeth in certain areas, especially capital controls. We need legislation that makes it difficult for financial institutions to become so large and systemically threatening.

    It would be an enormous mistake to not learn from what happened a year ago. That day – and everything that led up to it – showed us we need a strong regulatory framework if we want to prevent another crisis. Let’s keep that in mind as we move forward.

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