Daily Digest - May 6: Learning by Doing Badly

May 6, 2013Tim Price

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The Lessons of the North Atlantic Crisis for Economic Theory and Policy (IMFdirect)

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The Lessons of the North Atlantic Crisis for Economic Theory and Policy (IMFdirect)

Roosevelt Institute Chief Economist Joseph Stiglitz argues that the crisis has given us a chance to rethink broken models, so instead of tinkering at the edges and hoping the markets somehow fix themselves, we can break out the full repair kit next time around.

The Chutzpah Caucus (NYT)

Paul Krugman writes that although many cynics seem to think any government stimulus will lead to a liberal spending spree that bankrupts the nation, the real problem is usually that stimulus gets cut off too soon, and the bankrupting is left to conservatives.

The College Grad Recovery Continues (The Atlantic)

Matthew O'Brien notes that the latest jobs report tells the same story of painfully slow but steady job growth that we've been hearing since the recovery began. Except for those without college degrees, who file that story under the creative fiction category.

The Idled Young Americans (NYT)

David Leonhardt writes that lack of new job creation has caused the U.S. to go from having the biggest share of young workers employed among wealthy nations to having one of the smallest. But they're still optimistic about one day being able to pay a bill.

McJobs recovery continues in latest job figures (MSNBC)

Ned Resnikoff writes that while April's report shows the recovery is slowly adding jobs, it also shows that they're some of the worst jobs around, with a third of growth concentrated in retail and hospitality while stable union work goes the way of the dinosaurs.

The Loss of Government Jobs Is Holding Back the Economy (Think Progress)

Bryce Covert notes that the public sector has lost 718,000 net jobs since 2009, including 11,000 sacrificed on the altar of austerity in April. And not to get too technical, but continually subtracting jobs from the economy makes the total number of jobs smaller.

The Hollowing Out of Government (Robert Reich)

Reich argues that whether it's OSHA enforcing safety standards or the IRS collecting taxes, Republicans deal with any law or government function they don't like but can't repeal by starving it of resources and then complaining about how it doesn't work right.

This Week in Poverty: Florida Gives Workers a Smackdown (The Nation)

Greg Kaufmann highlights the Florida legislature's raft of anti-worker legislation, designed to override local ordinances establishing benefits like paid sick leave and wage theft protection and leave it up to the state government to not implement them instead.

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Daily Digest - May 3: Wall Street's Latest Greatest Fear

May 3, 2013Tim Price

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This Is How Wall Street Is Fighting the Brown-Vitter Bill (NY Mag)

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This Is How Wall Street Is Fighting the Brown-Vitter Bill (NY Mag)

Kevin Roose writes that despite Brown-Vitter's slim chances of passing, the fact that banks have already started freestyling their fear-mongering -- how's "too-big-to-fail is a good thing!" working for you? Okay, what if it's already fixed? -- makes him root for it.

Turns out the much-hyped settlement still allows banks to steal homes (Salon)

David Dayen notes that banks still illegally foreclose on thousands of homes using tactics like robo-signing that they swore off as part of the $25 billion National Mortgage Settlement, but the settlement terms recognize that it's tough to go cold turkey on criminality.

Not Enough Inflation (NYT)

Paul Krugman writes that despite conservatives' warnings that we should stock up on gold coins and canned beans before the Fed's money-printing causes hyperinflation, the real danger is in having the dollar become a collector's item when demand is already low.

The Austerity Delusion (Foreign Affairs)

Noting that austerity has proven to be a singularly useless and counterproductive economic policy wherever and whenever it's been tried, Mark Blyth looks at why western leaders continue to be lured in by the siren song of "common sense" that's anything but.

U.S. Spending Cuts Seen as Key in Slowing Growth (NYT)

Are you sitting down? Okay, get this: Nelson Schwartz reports that economists think the combination of higher payroll taxes and sequestration will drag down the recovery and hurt job creation. Why didn't anyone warn Congress sooner? Egg on their faces, for sure.

Expert: Obama's Housing Nomination Is Good News for Poor People (MoJo)

Erika Eichelberger reports that affordable housing advocates back Mel Watt, current House Democrat and would-be FHFA director, citing his support for principal reduction and lending to low-income and minority borrowers. Just don't call it community reinvestment.

More Obama appointments: Pritzker at Commerce; Froman for trade representative (WaPo)

Zachary Goldfarb notes that hotel heiress Penny Pritzker, the president's pick to head the Commerce Department (official motto: Google us!), could be the wealthiest Cabinet secretary ever. Meanwhile, Paris Hilton continues to wait for her call to serve.

The Face of Pregnancy Discrimination (RH Reality Check)

Annamarya Scaccia looks at how employers exploit vulnerable workers and creative interpretations of the law to fire pregnant employees, put them on unpaid leave, and otherwise deny them opportunities, just like their own mothers dreamed they'd grow up to do.

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Daily Digest - May 2: DeMarco's Days Are Numbered

May 2, 2013Tim Price

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A Mortgage Agency Pick Is Likely to Cause Conflict (NYT)

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A Mortgage Agency Pick Is Likely to Cause Conflict (NYT)

Peter Eavis and Annie Lowrey report that critics are displeased that the president is nominating Mel Watt, who supports mortgage writedowns to help struggling homeowners, to replace Ed DeMarco, who's been doing his best pet rock impression as acting FHFA director.

Federal Reserve ponders possibility of increasing stimulus (WaPo)

Ylan Q. Mui notes that the Fed explicitly acknowledged for the first time yesterday that the economy could get bad enough to convince it to ramp up its bond-purchasing program -- and if it does, the central bank doesn't mind telling anyone that it will be Congress's fault.

GOP's Census Bill Would Eliminate America's Economic Indicators (HuffPo)

Tired of bad economic news? Maybe we'd be better off with no news at all. As Michael McAuliff writes, that seems to be the position taken by Republican lawmakers who want to ban the Census Bureau from collecting data used to calculate unemployment and GDP.

American job prospects make for dim May Day celebration (MSNBC)

Ned Resnikoff notes that yesterday was International Workers' Day, but it was a lot like any other day for American workers, marked by historically low labor force participation and union membership, declining job quality and safety standards, and the looming threat of layoffs.

Big Banks are Victims of Their Own Success (ProPublica)

Jesse Eisinger argues that the Brown-Vitter bill banks are decrying as a punitive measure that will destroy the financial system is the bad cop to Dodd-Frank's good cop. Wall Street may live to regret stripping the latter of its badge and its gun and drumming it off the force.

Banks on the Run (Continued) (The Nation)

Greg Kaufmann writes that banks are learning another valuable lesson about the consequences of indiscriminately throwing people out of their homes: no matter where they hold their shareholder meetings, angry activists keep turning up like a roll of bad pennies.

It's a 401(k) World and It Basically Sucks (Slate)

Matthew Yglesias thinks Tom Friedman's "401(k) world" metaphor is an apt description of modern America, but it's a barren, inhospitable world for anyone except the wealthy and the few middle-class workers who manage to invest wisely and adequately.

The New Study That Republicans Who Reject Medicaid Must Read (TNR)

While some conservatives are doing an end zone dance over a new study that shows Medicaid access has limited health benefits for the poor, Jonathan Cohn argues that keeping beneficiaries out of crippling medical debt -- and clinical depression -- isn't nothing.

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Daily Digest - May 1: Uncertainty, Unprincipled

May 1, 2013Tim Price

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The studies behind austerity are weak. The study behind 'uncertainty' is worse. (WaPo)

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The studies behind austerity are weak. The study behind 'uncertainty' is worse. (WaPo)

Ezra Klein notes that the "policy uncertainty is hurting the economy" meme is back in the headlines, and as Roosevelt Institute Fellow Mike Konczal has shown, that's apparently all the proof that the researchers making that claim think they need in order to back it up.

How Wall Street Defanged Dodd-Frank (The Nation)

Gary Rivlin explains why passing financial reform in 2010 might have been the easy part compared to the all-out war lobbyists have been waging against it ever since. Schoolhouse Rock left out the part where the Bill turns up dead with a knife sticking out of his back.

Banks Resist Strict Controls of Foreign Bets (NYT)

Eric Lipton notes that the current focus of bankers' ire is a proposal that would give U.S. regulators more oversight on overseas derivatives trades, since it's not like there's any chance someone like the London Whale could wind up beaching on American shores.

House Financial Chair Hensarling Goes on Ski Vacation with Wall Street (ProPublica)

Justin Elliott reports that the GOP's top man on the House Financial Services Committee hit the slopes with industry reps who have generously donated thousands to his PAC. He's so dedicated to his work that he just can't help but bring it with him on vacation.

As Jobs Lag, Fed Is Viewed as Unlikely to Do More (NYT)

As the Fed wraps up a two-day policy meeting, Binyamin Appelbaum writes that they probably won't back away from their current stimulus program, but they won't do much to expand it, either. They're aiming for a solid "Needs Improvement" on their job evaluation.

For the unemployed, no reprieve on budget cuts (CNNMoney)

Jeanne Sahadi notes that sequestration will force cuts in unemployment benefits for 3.8 million Americans starting this week, and the longer states wait to make the cuts, the more they're going to hurt. They're just buying time for Congress to, er, leap into action.

How to ease economic anxiety (WaPo)

Harold Meyerson writes that with polls showing most Americans feel their fortunes are on the decline, the only response (besides eating a whole tub of ice cream) is to organize for higher wages and against trade agreements that undercut American workers.

CEO Pay 1,795-to-1 Multiple of Wages Skirts U.S. Law (Bloomberg)

Many companies continue to resist Dodd-Frank's requirement that they disclose their pay ratios, so Bloomberg crunched the numbers itself and found that the average CEO's making 204 times as much as his average employee. Time to ask for that raise.

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Daily Digest - April 30: Canceling the Cable Monopolies

Apr 30, 2013Tim Price

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The Next Elizabeth Warren (TNR)

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The Next Elizabeth Warren (TNR)

If you've ever been annoyed by your Internet provider, return the favor by reading John Judis's profile of Roosevelt Institute Fellow Susan Crawford, who's taking on the telecom giants and fighting to make high-speed Internet access as ubiquitous as electricity.

The United States of Sequestration (MoJo)

Timothy Murphy highlights how sequestration has affected all 50 states in the six weeks since its $85.4 billion in cuts began to kick in. From closed Head Start programs to furloughed workers, nothing brings the whole country together quite like terrible policy.

Sequestration 101: If a Budget Cut Doesn't Affect the Wealthy, Congress Won't Fix It (The Nation)

Bryce Covert argues that there's a reason flight delays consumed the media and Congress's attention while other cuts are ignored: policymakers actually listen to rich people's complaints, whereas everyone else sounds like one of Charlie Brown's teachers.

Meals On Wheels Sequestration Cuts Taking Effect (HuffPo)

Case in point: With Meals On Wheels set to deliver as many as 19 million fewer meals this year due to funding cuts, Arthur Delaney reports that some recipients are actually questioning whether it's worth feeding them if it means that others will go hungry.

Washington's Backward Retirement Policy: So Wrong, and Yet So Easy to Fix (The Atlantic)

James Kwak argues that there would be plenty of money to shore up Social Security's finances without cutting benefits if the government stopped giving it to people who don't need it (and don't particularly care if they get it) in the form of 401(k) and IRA subsidies.

Are Democrats Moving Away from "Debt Crisis" Rhetoric? (Prospect)

Jamelle Bouie writes that instead of offering voters a choice between lots of enthusiastic austerity and a little less regretful austerity, even moderate Democrats seem to be realizing that they're betting off drawing a clear distinction and emphasizing growth instead.

House Republicans Eyeing New Hostage Opportunity (NY Mag)

Jonathan Chait notes that Republicans are once again plotting to force a debt ceiling showdown, but instead of tying it to deficit reduction like last time, they're now demanding a version of tax reform that makes deficit reduction the only thing you can't do.

No Rich Child Left Behind (NYT)

Sean Reardon writes that while the racial achievement gap in education has been narrowing, the income-based achievement gap is widening as rich parents sink more resources into giving their little darlings that leg up that a trust fund alone can't provide.

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Daily Digest - April 29: The Fed Keeps Rolling That Rock Uphill

Apr 29, 2013Tim Price

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The great economic experiment of 2013: Ben Bernanke vs. austerity (WaPo)

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The great economic experiment of 2013: Ben Bernanke vs. austerity (WaPo)

Roosevelt Institute Fellow Mike Konczal writes that U.S. economic policy has become a "punch me as hard as you can!" bar bet in which the Federal Reserve makes a big push to stimulate the recovery and lawmakers push back with spending cuts and tax hikes.

Latest GDP Report Shows U.S. Economy Still Waiting for Liftoff (Bloomberg View)

Matthew C. Klein notes that the last quarter's growth, which came in below expectations, was driven largely by personal consumption, which can't keep going unless people get more money, and stunted by austerity, which can evidently keep going no matter what.

The Story of Our Time (NYT)

With the austerity narrative looking shakier by the day, Paul Krugman offers a synopsis of the progressive alternative: the government isn't like a family that needs to tighten its belt; it's the spender of last resort that keeps your family from cutting off its circulation.

The Unluckiest Generation: What Will Become of Millennials? (The Atlantic)

Derek Thompson argues that while Millennials had the bad fortune to be born at precisely the right time to inherit an absolute economic mess when they came of age, they do at least have cheap food, clothing, and streaming video to help keep their spirits high.

Loans Borrowed Against Pensions Squeeze Retirees (NYT)

Older Americans aren't faring much better than the younger ones, as Jessica Silver-Greenberg reports that retirees lured in by the promise of "pension advances" sometimes wind up paying up to 106 percent interest and turning over their life insurance to lenders.

How to Lose the Sequestration Fight (TPM)

Brian Beutler argues that Congress's quick fix for flight delays isn't just bad policy because it gives special treatment to the rich; it's also bad strategy inasmuch as it proves Democrats don't actually have one for holding Republicans accountable for the sequester.

Everything Is Rigged: The Biggest Price-Fixing Scandal Ever (Rolling Stone)

Matt Taibbi notes that in addition to messing with Libor, the international interest rate benchmark, the big banks may also have manipulated ISDAfix, a benchmark for pricing interest-rate swaps, making it the bacon cheeseburger pizza burger of financial scandals.

How One Tweet Almost Broke US Financial Markets (MoJo)

Nick Baumann writes that after one hacked tweet about a White House bombing sent the stock market plunging, critics of high-frequency trading software have new concerns about SEC oversight and how these computers would react to some real bad news.

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Daily Digest - April 26: Who Needs Facts When You Have Money?

Apr 26, 2013Tim Price

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The 1 Percent's Solution (NYT)

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The 1 Percent's Solution (NYT)

Paul Krugman argues that the embarrassing collapse of austerity's intellectual justifications might not mean that austerity itself is over, since there isn't a lot of deep thought involved in wealthy elites tapping policymakers on the shoulder and saying, "Hey, do this."

Four ideas for fixing the long-term unemployment crisis (WaPo)

Brad Plumer writes that proposed solutions include job training, wage subsidies, direct hiring, and (in Roosevelt Institute Fellow Mike Konczal's case) full employment, but like America's 4.7 million long-term unemployed, the current approach definitely isn't working.

Why Kids Still Can't Have It All (Prospect)

Monica Potts notes that working families are struggling as states cut back on child-care subsidies, and sequestration is adding to the pain with cuts to programs like Head Start. Soon even high-powered moms may not be able to afford a stylish leather tote for their kids.

Senate Democrats' Shameful Cave on Flight Delays (TNR)

Noam Scheiber calls out Congress for predictably scrambling to fix one part of the sequester that has proven mildly irritating to business travelers when the best they can muster in response to, let's say, a series of horrific shooting sprees is a resigned shrug.

Banks Continue to Scaremonger Over Nonexistent Down Payment Requirements (MoJo)

Kevin Drum writes that, contrary to banks' claims that their hands are tied by new Dodd-Frank rules, they're still allowed to issue any kind of loans they want. But if they wind up with a pile of garbage, they can't just dump it all on someone else's lawn and run away.

Big Banks' Tall Tales (Project Syndicate)

Simon Johnson examines the two competing narratives that dominate the debate around financial reform: The first one, preferred by bankers, is that we've already had all the reform we need and all is well. The other story, about the ongoing threat of TBTF, is nonfiction.

Texas Explosion: Gov't Shared Info for Anti-Terrorism, But Not Workplace Safety (In These Times)

Mike Elk notes that Americans are 270 times more likely to die in a workplace accident than from terrorism, but Homeland Security's budget is 84 times the size of OSHA's. Luckily, the phone call that could have prevented the fertilizer plant explosion is pretty cheap.

Congressman Finally Takes Action to Remove Needless Requirement Bankrupting the Postal Service (Think Progress)

Annie-Rose Strasser writes that Rep. Peter DeFazio has introduced a bill that would authorize the USPS to stop hitting itself and end the requirement that it pre-fund 75 years' worth of retirement benefits so it can actually pay its employees to keep working instead.

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Daily Digest - April 25: A Lonely Place to Testify

Apr 25, 2013Tim Price

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The Poorly Attended Hearing on One of the Economy's Toughest Problems (National Journal)

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The Poorly Attended Hearing on One of the Economy's Toughest Problems (National Journal)

If there's a congressional panel on long-term unemployment and no one is around to hear it, does it make a sound? Niraj Chokshi writes that the Joint Economic Committee might have discovered the answer yesterday if not for Amy Klobuchar's presence.

Possible Fed Successor Has Admirers and Foes (NYT)

Binyamin Appelbaum profiles Janet Yellen, a likely candidate for Fed chair when Ben Bernanke finally departs from the Grey Havens, who's made enemies among the GOP by suggesting that a little inflation might go a long way toward helping the economy.

Banking Regulation: Closed for Business (Prospect)

David Dayen writes that while Senators Brown and Vitter have just introduced a bipartisan plan to end "too big to fail," Treasury officials insist they needn't have bothered, since that's all been fixed already. No, really, it has. Why are you giving them that look?

The Immigration Bill's Forced-Labor Problem (MoJo)

Adam Serwer notes that in the midst of a heated debate about whether to give undocumented immigrants a path to become full citizens, a more difficult question may be how to ensure that the guest workers who are here legally are treated like full human beings.

Study: There may not be a shortage of American STEM graduates after all (WaPo)

Jia Lynn Yang highlights a study from EPI which finds that America's dilemma isn't really that it has too small a pool of available workers who know how to fix a computer or do a math problem, but that it doesn't have a whole lot of work for many of them to do.

Why Obama's Stealth Social Security Cut Is Bigger Than It Seems (TPM)

Brian Beutler flags a CBO report on Chained CPI which shows that while standard criticisms apply, it hits seniors particularly hard if you account for the fact that they don't have the same spending habits as their grandkids (as any gift-giving occasion will reveal).

Obama Administration Is Right to Hold Fliers Hostage (Bloomberg)

Josh Barro argues that despite all the moaning about how across-the-board furloughs have delayed flights, the White House should keep critics grounded until a comprehensive sequester fix is in place. There's no such thing as first class in economic policy.

The Preferences of the Wealthy and Their Role in Our Politics (On the Economy)

Jared Bernstein writes that until we stem the flow of money in politics, deciding what goals we want to achieve as a society will take a backseat to another question: what do the millionaires think? And the answer is usually, "we should cut social spending."

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Daily Digest - April 24: The Terrible Twitter Traders

Apr 24, 2013Tim Price

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Austerity doctrine is exposed as flimflam (WaPo)

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Austerity doctrine is exposed as flimflam (WaPo)

Katrina vanden Heuvel isn't expecting an apology from the austerians who have pushed destructive policies based on bad information, but if they'd go stand in a corner and think about what they've done, at least it would get them out of the way while we fix it.

Make Wall Street Choose: Go Small or Go Home (NYT)

Senators Sherrod Brown and David Vitter introduce their new bipartisan plan to end "too big to fail" by raising capital requirements so the largest banks must either play it safe or break into smaller pieces, which can then feel free to fail to their heart's content.

False White House tweet exposes instant trading dangers (Reuters)

Steven C. Johnson writes that when the hacked AP Twitter account announced that President Obama had been injured in an explosion, the only real damage done was to the stock market. Choose your hashtags carefully; the global economy may depend on it.

Financial Regulators To Warn About Student Debt Risks (HuffPo)

Shahien Nasiripour notes that the Financial Stability Oversight Council will warn that America's $1 trillion student debt burden poses a real threat to economic growth in its latest annual report, entitled "Here Are Some Things You Probably Already Figured Out."

Wyden in line for coveted Finance gavel (The Hill)

Max Baucus's decision to retire after next year leaves the chairmanship of the Senate Finance Committee up for grabs, but if Democrats manage to hold the Senate, it could go to Ron Wyden, who's acquired a dangerous reputation for working with people on things.

The Texas fertilizer plant explosion cannot be forgotten (WaPo)

Mike Elk argues that while the Boston bombings have absorbed the media's attention, the explosion of a Texas factory that killed 14 people and injured 160 tells an important story about workplace safety and lax regulation. If we're lucky, we'll get to hear it one day.

Fast food walkout planned in Chicago (Salon)

Josh Eidelson reports that 500 fast food and retail workers in the Windy City have walked off the job, hot on the heels of a similar strike in New York. They're demanding higher wages and union representation, and maybe some functioning drive-through speakers.

S.E.C. Gets Plea: Force Companies to Disclose Donations (NYT)

Nicholas Confessore writes that the SEC is under pressure to issue rules that would require publicly traded corporations to reveal their political contributions, though Republicans argue this would infringe on free speech rights that apparently only companies have.

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Daily Digest - April 23: The Deficit Crisis That Forgot to Happen

Apr 23, 2013Tim Price

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The Incredible Shrinking Budget Deficit (NYT)

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The Incredible Shrinking Budget Deficit (NYT)

Annie Lowrey notes that Goldman Sachs economists predict the deficit will shrink dramatically due to lower spending and higher revenues. Pop the champagne and kiss your sweetheart; our long national nightmare is over. Now about that economic growth...

Getting Back to Full Employment (On the Economy)

Moving back to the list of things real people worry about, Jared Bernstein writes that jobs are still priority one, and if the private sector isn't supplying enough of them on its own, we could try pulling the dropcloth off the federal government and firing it up again.

The Grad Student Who Took Down Reinhart and Rogoff Explains Why They're Fundamentally Wrong (Business Insider)

Thomas Herndon, co-author of the paper that exposed the flaws in Reinhart-Rogoff, explains that he isn't suggesting the economists intentionally skewed the data that screwed up their findings, but that doesn't mean their findings aren't seriously screwed up.

Who Is Defending Austerity Now? (The Atlantic)

Matthew O'Brien writes that while actual austerity policies have brought nothing but disaster in places like the U.K. and southern Europe, support for them has really begun to fade now that you can't wave a paper in someone's face to show they work In Theory.

Immigration Raises Incomes in America (Slate)

Matthew Yglesias notes that it's so difficult to show that increased immigration would hurt the economy that even staunch opponents now claim the problem is that most of the benefits would go to immigrants. Which is a problem, if you don't like immigrants.

Abenomics Will Boost Japan's Economy By Helping Its Women Workers (Think Progress)

Bryce Covert writes that Japanese PM Shinzo Abe's aggressive new approach to economic stimulus includes making use of one of the country's untapped natural resources: namely, the half of its population that's almost nowhere to be found in its executive suites.

A Day Without Care (Jacobin)

Sarah Jaffe writes that the kind of flexible work that was supposed to help women now requires them to be contortionists, and women in care work find it difficult to strike for higher wages. But shortening the work week may be an answer everyone can get behind.

Panel Blocks CFPB's Chief (WSJ)

Alan Zibel reports that Jeb Hensarling, chair of the House Financial Services Committee, refuses to let Richard Cordray testify because of his recess appointment, which is slightly more mature than interrupting him with "What? Who's there? Is someone speaking?"

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