Unemployed and Taking on Debt to Stay Afloat? Don’t Expect to Get a Job

Aug 31, 2011Bryce Covert

Anyone can lose their job and fall behind on bills in this economy. But now that may keep them from finding new employment.

This week's credit check: Six out of 10 employers use credit reports to vet job applicants. More than 20 million Americans may have material errors on their credit reports.

Anyone can lose their job and fall behind on bills in this economy. But now that may keep them from finding new employment.

This week's credit check: Six out of 10 employers use credit reports to vet job applicants. More than 20 million Americans may have material errors on their credit reports.

There are about 14 million people unemployed in this country, and 6.2 million of them have been unemployed for more than 27 weeks. Where should they turn when they've lost a steady paycheck, but still have to keep up with bills such as mortgage payments, student loans, and the basics like rent and food? With no money coming in, many understandably have to turn to debt.

But taking on debt -- and being unable to pay it back, or pay back any of the debt they may have took on when things looked better and they had a job -- could be the exact thing that keeps the unemployed from becoming re-employed. In a massive Catch-22, many employers are looking to credit reports when they do background checks on prospective employees, and a bad mark due to an unpaid medical bill or lapsed student loan payment could make the difference in getting the job. In 2010, The Wall Street Journal reported that more employers are relying on these checks before making hires. Nothing has changed in the intervening year -- except perhaps that the problem is getting worse. Marketplace recently told the story of Sarah Sholar, just one of those employees with bad credit who has been turned down by prospective employers. "I can't pay my student loans because I don't have a job," she told them. "I can't get a job because I can't pay my student loans."

The companies in charge of reporting on consumer credit records are extremely opaque and have little oversight. Some studies found that 25 percent of credit scores -- based on credit reports -- have errors in them. More than 20 million Americans may have material errors on their credit reports. And good luck trying to fix errors -- or to even figure out how these scores are calculated. Both will lead you down a labyrinthine path.

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But it's not just consumers who get suckered by reporting agencies. As Amy Traub wrote in The American Prospect, "Credit checks have been aggressively marketed to employers by for-profit credit bureaus," but "[t]he only available rigorous study of employment credit checks concluded that there's no correlation between credit history and job performance." Even those who are concerned about whether to trust a new employee with fiduciary responsibilities may not learn much from a credit report when trying economic times have landed even the most responsible people in difficulty. On top of this, because African Americans and Hispanics, for a variety of reasons, disproportionately have low credit scores, they can be excluded from jobs that run credit checks, leaving the door open for discrimination charges. In fact, as Traub points out, Bank of America was found to have discriminated against African Americans in just this manner in 2010, and there's such a case pending against Kaplan Higher Education Corporation.

So why have the credit reporting agencies pushed employers so hard to use this information? There's good money in credit reporting, and the business segment growing fastest is consumer reporting. About 600 credit reporting agencies, along with 4,500 credit collections agencies, generate annual revenue of $20 billion in the U.S. The top four reporting agencies -- Equifax, TransUnion, FICO, and Experian -- bring in $1.8 billion, $1.2 billion, $744 million, and $282 million in annual sales, respectively.

But the larger problem with this practice is that it is based off the tired assumption that getting into debt is a reflection of bad character, not the inevitable result of a bad economy coupled with tricks and traps employed by banks to keep consumers in debt. The WSJ article explains that the rise in employers who check credit reports for prospective employees is due to concerns "about rising rates of employee theft and fiduciary issues" and that "[c]ompanies say the financial information can offer insight into a candidate's level of responsibility." But in reality, anyone can lose their job these days and fall behind on bills. Many people were seduced into subprime products before the boom without fully understanding the traps they were getting into. And long before that, wages were falling for the past three decades, so families have had less and less to spend on basics like food and shelter -- leading to the need to take on debt to plug the gaps.

The stigma around being in debt is unfair at any time, but is even more distressing when the economy has landed so many in financial disaster. If these very financial difficulties then keep people from getting the jobs that can help pull them out of the morass, there will be no lifeline left.

Bryce Covert is Assistant Editor at New Deal 2.0.

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Recession Has Lit the Fuse on Explosive Student Debt

Aug 24, 2011Bryce Covert

Troubling long-term trends have gotten even worse as schools, government, and families cut back and student loans skyrocket.

This week's credit check: Average student debt can spiral up to $100,000 with interest and late payments. Room and board charges at colleges have doubled in actual dollars since 1982.

Troubling long-term trends have gotten even worse as schools, government, and families cut back and student loans skyrocket.

This week's credit check: Average student debt can spiral up to $100,000 with interest and late payments. Room and board charges at colleges have doubled in actual dollars since 1982.

It's no great secret that student loan debt is exploding. The total amount is set to top $1 trillion, more than total credit card debt. But accompanying that post-recession surge in student debt (as all other consumer debt is being paid down) is a surge in delinquencies. As The Wall Street Journal reports, "In the second quarter, 11.2% of student loans were more than 90 days past due and the rate was steadily rising, according to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Only credit cards had a higher rate of delinquency -- 12.2% -- but those numbers have been on a steady decline for the past four quarters."

The rise in student borrowing is a longtime trend, but things have clearly gotten worse in the recession. A lot of it is because of decisions schools are making. In a recent Atlantic Monthly article, Andrew Hacker and Claudia Dreifus explain that higher tuition -- paid for by student loans -- "keeps most colleges going." Private colleges Loyola University and Franklin Pierce see 77 and 85 percent of students enroll with loans, respectively. Historically black colleges, which tend to have lower endowments and a poorer population, are closer to 90 percent. Part of this, they report, is not because the actual education is more costly, but because "room and board charges have doubled in actual dollars since 1982 to enhance campus life." That's a long-term trend. But part of it is unique to the recession: As endowments tanked, priorities changed. They note:

Recent actions by Dartmouth and Williams, two wealthy schools, convey a lot about academic priorities. In the past, both schools announced that anyone they accepted would be able to enroll without having to take out loans. That is, the colleges would ensure all the aid that was needed to make attendance possible... That was before 2008. But when Dartmouth and Williams' endowments tanked, hard decisions had to be made. Among the first was telling their needy students they would henceforward have to borrow.

The government has taken much the same tack in looking at its own shrunken budget post-recession. Back in March, President Obama proposed a budget that ended an experiment that gave Pell Grants for summer courses and eliminated a subsidy for paying interest on student loans for grad students. His plan was better than the GOP's, which wanted to cut the maximum Pell Grant payment by $845, end funding to other aid programs, and kill AmeriCorps. This comes on top of a longtime trend in which student debt has come to replace grants. As Roosevelt Institute Fellow Dorian Warren reminded his host Melissa Harris-Perry on MSNBC, "When we were in college, Melissa, Pell Grants paid almost half our college in the 90s. Now Pell Grants barely cover a quarter. It's all student loans." Grants used to cover two-thirds of financing an education; now two-thirds comes from loans. Post-recession, the government is looking to shrink that even more.

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Families have also reacted to the recession by, understandably, socking less away for college and pitching in less for tuition. As Hacker and Dreifus note, "Fully two-thirds of our undergraduates have gone into debt, many from middle class families, who in the past paid for much of college from savings." Those savings have likely dried up. A typical family spent only about $2,055 on education last year. Only half of freshmen entering college said their parents had put anything aside for their education, and of those who had, half had saved less than $20,000.

With so many sources of aid pulling away either out of necessity or stupidity, students are left hanging at just the time they need more help. The College Board puts average debt at $27,650, but that figure can spiral up to $100,000 due to interest and late payment penalties, which are even more likely in a recession. This is on top of the bleak job market graduating students face. The New York Times writes, "The median starting salary for students graduating from four-year colleges in 2009 and 2010 was $27,000, down from $30,000 for those who entered the work force in 2006 to 2008... Among the members of the class of 2010, just 56 percent had held at least one job by this spring, when the survey was conducted. That compares with 90 percent of graduates from the classes of 2006 and 2007." It's hard to pay student loans when you don't have a job.

And don't forget, this debt isn't going anywhere, no matter how little students are able to pay it back. Unlike almost all other forms of consumer debt, student loans can't be discharged. Barmak Nassirian of the American Association of College Registrars and Admissions Officers told Hacker and Dreifus, "You will be hounded for life... They will garnish your wages. They will intercept your tax refunds. You become ineligible for federal employment." They can also dock Social Security checks when you retire, he adds. No matter when the economy finally pulls out of this stagnation, students will still be saddled with a heavy load.

Bryce Covert is Assistant Editor at New Deal 2.0.

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On the Obama Administration's Pressuring of NY Attorney General Office

Aug 22, 2011Mike Konczal

Getting to the bottom of the housing crisis is key to economic recovery. So why is the Obama administration trying to block investigation?

Getting to the bottom of the housing crisis is key to economic recovery. So why is the Obama administration trying to block investigation?

Gretchen Morgenson's must-read article, "Attorney General of N.Y. Is Said to Face Pressure on Bank Foreclosure Deal," reveals how the Obama administration is putting pressure on attorneys general, especially New York's Eric T. Schneiderman, who want to bypass an arranged settlement in exchange for an extensive investigation of foreclosure fraud.

Dave Dayen has an important summary of the key issues and Marcy Wheeler brings up two additional items; both are excellent at laying out the field and are highly recommended. If the rush to a settlement is to help consumers, the federal government has many options already available. This is a problem in which the banks are screwing up at the state level and thus the Treasury can't run to the rescue in the same way. Hence, the application of all influence the administration can get.

A few additional thoughts for those joining this issue at this point:

- To put this in perspective, Michael Barr told Felix Salmon in November 2010 that investigations and strong enforcement were on their way. A week ago, I finally read an in-depth investigation that found that in "a staggering 92 percent of the claims brought by creditors asserting the right to foreclose against bankrupt families in New York City and the close-in suburbs, banks and mortgage servicers couldn't prove they had the right to kick the families out on the street... By robosigning documents and pressing foreclosures without the proper paperwork, banks have attempted to steamroll their way over sometimes-outgunned homeowners."

The investigation was done not by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS), nor by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) but by...wait for it...the New York Post. The Post! If the Post is capable of pulling off this investigation and making it public and subject to democratic discussion, why can't the Obama administration?  And this is what the New York AG's office has to deal with: signing a deal absolving and protecting the banks when places like the New York Post are out there finding evidence of massive fraud.

-  Here's a statement we'll refer to as "A": "During the financial crisis period of 2007-2009, the government took extraordinary actions to stabilize and protect the financial markets and industry, and these were the absolute best actions possible given information at the time and the tools available." You and I have our own thoughts on A, but let's assume it is true for this post.

Given A, it is now almost September 2011. It has been almost two and a half years since the Geithner Public Private Investment Program (PPIP) and the Wall Street stress tests were executed. At what point, is Wall Street comfortable enough that it gets to be held accountable for what is going on? At what point does the administration switch from "protect at all possible costs" mode to "hold just a bit accountable in a place with well-documented abuses that directly impact the economy, recovery and people's well-being"? Do we have to wait until 2013?  2020?

-  If you are a general reader of the financial crisis, you probably have a sense of what went wrong with securitization during the bubble. People made sloppy and outright bad loans for huge fees because they could pass them along to people down the line. You may also have a bad sense of what is going on right now in that it involves paperwork and confusion.

I want to emphasize to you that these are the same problem. The same problems on the way up the bubble -- a way of creating, packaging and handling mortgages that was brand new and created agency problems at every stage -- are the same problems on the way down. The documents that hold banks accountable aren't to be found; the special trust laws that allow the infrastructure of these products to work (tax-free) have been made a mockery; and agents have incentives to wealth-strip consumers and dump them even when modifications would be made better from the ultimate creditors' point-of-view.

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-  We do a lot of navel-gazing arguments about "neoliberalism" here, but a very explicit assumption of deregulating the financial markets was that laws and investigations would be enforced when things went sideways. As John D. Hawke Jr., Comptroller of the Currency, said when he announced that he was going to pre-empt Georgia's anti-predatory lending state laws in 2003: "We believe a far more effective approach [than anti-predatory lending laws] would be to focus on the abusive practitioners, bringing to bear our formidable enforcement powers where we find abusive practices -- after clearly articulating our expectations." The trust and property law violations that are at the heart of this couldn't be clearer. It's a dot-your-I's and cross-your-T's kind of law. This abandonment reflects less a different way of setting up the financial markets than an outright corruption of the whole idea of rule-of-law.

- It's reasonable to think that the banks themselves don't know the extent of the problem either and obviously no single bank has an incentive to figure out what it has done wrong over the past several decades. An investigation coordinates this.

- There's no theory outside "weeping job creators" of what is wrong with the economy that doesn't involve the housing market. Getting to the bottom of this, rather than slowly bleeding out consumers and the more general housing market, is essential for getting us back on track.

- Kudos to Eric T. Schneiderman for fighting for this under intense pressures from a Wall Street/Treasury team-up. I can't even imagine what that squeeze is like and it's awful that the administration is on the wrong side of this.

Mike Konczal is a Research Fellow at the Roosevelt Institute.

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Dorian Warren on MSNBC: Millennials Face an "American Nightmare"

Aug 18, 2011

Roosevelt Institute Fellow Dorian Warren joined guest host Melissa Harris-Perry on The Last Word last night to discuss what she calls the "recession generation": young people graduating into this economic morass. And what do they have to look forward to if things keep going they way they are? Dorian's answer: "An American nightmare, not an American dream."

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Roosevelt Institute Fellow Dorian Warren joined guest host Melissa Harris-Perry on The Last Word last night to discuss what she calls the "recession generation": young people graduating into this economic morass. And what do they have to look forward to if things keep going they way they are? Dorian's answer: "An American nightmare, not an American dream."

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

It didn't used to be this way. "Thinking back to the legacy of Franklin Roosevelt and the New Deal," Dorian points out, "we had investment in national infrastructure, not an austerity politics." There was even a National Youth Administration to specifically tackle youth unemployment. But now, he says, our politicians "don't have that same vision."

But Millennials do. Speaking of the Roosevelt legacy, Dorian recounts his experience working with Campus Network students at the FDR Library in Hyde Park recently. "The ideas and the vision are there for this recession generation," he says, "but their voices aren't being heard in the same way." Maybe it's time for D.C. to tune in.

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Consumers Don't Want More Debt, They Want Jobs and Decent Wages

Aug 17, 2011Bryce Covert

Americans are focused on paying back their debts while they worry about finding jobs and bringing home enough money to pay the bills.

This week's credit check: Consumer spending accounts for 70% of the US economy. Household debt is currently 90% of GDP.

Americans are focused on paying back their debts while they worry about finding jobs and bringing home enough money to pay the bills.

This week's credit check: Consumer spending accounts for 70% of the US economy. Household debt is currently 90% of GDP.

There seems to be a Catch-22 right now that has a lot of people worried: consumers are feeling reluctant to spend and more inclined to save because the economy is so crappy, yet we need consumer spending to ramp up to stop it from sucking. Consumer spending, after all, accounts for 70% of the economy. Without that part humming smoothly, it'll be hard to get the whole system back to full working order. But according to economists at JPMorgan, household purchases dropped in June for the third consecutive month, the first time that's happened outside a recession since 1959 (all adjusted for inflation) -- although retail sales rose .5% in July.

So why won't Americans go out and spend their money like true patriots? Because a lot of them are focused on paying down the debt they racked up in the run up to the recession. The rate of borrowers 90 or more days late on credit card payments just fell to 0.6%, the lowest in 17 years. Total outstanding revolving credit card debt was down 4.6% during the first half of the year compared to the same period a year before. Consumers spent $72 billion more paying down credit card debts than buying things in 2009 and 2010. Clearly we have put a high premium on breaking free from credit card debts and avoiding the high interest rates and fees associated with being behind.

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But we have a long way to go. There's still a lot of debt hanging over consumers. In 1990, household debt was about 60% of GDP; in 2000, it was less than 70%. But right now it's at 90% -- better than the first quarter of 2009, when it was 99.5%, but still leaving plenty more room to deleverage.

Beyond high debt loads, consumers are also pretty freaked out by current economic signs. In the first weeks of August, consumer sentiment fell to the lowest level since 1980, when the country was in a recession (and we're technically not in one right now). What's getting them down? High unemployment, stagnant wages, and the ridiculous debate in Congress over the debt ceiling. Their top worries are about the difficulties they face in bringing money home -- and how little Congress seems poised to do about fixing their problems. Little wonder that when we're not sure we're going to have a job, let alone make enough to pay the pills, Americans are wary of splurging.

The Fed seems to have been hoping that it could goose consumers into taking on more debt to go buy things by announcing last week that it was going to keep credit cheap. But consumers aren't asking for more debt to help them spend. They're asking for more jobs and decent wages. After being admonished time and again for "recklessly" racking up debts in the run up to the financial crisis, now they're being admonished for not taking on enough debt. Rather than trying to find ways to make us borrow, maybe it would be better for everyone if we were simply employed and paid well for the work we're doing.

Bryce Covert is Assistant Editor at New Deal 2.0.

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How S&P’s Downgrade Could Deal a Blow to Consumers

Aug 10, 2011Bryce Covert

If interest rates rise across the board, credit card users will feel some of the heaviest effects.

This week's credit check: Banks borrow money at .75% interest. The average credit card interest rate is almost 15%.

If interest rates rise across the board, credit card users will feel some of the heaviest effects.

This week's credit check: Banks borrow money at .75% interest. The average credit card interest rate is almost 15%.

After months of brinkmanship and showmanship over raising the debt ceiling, the deed was finally done at the eleventh hour. Unfortunately, S&P still wasn't convinced. Citing the broken politics on display as Republicans held the debt ceiling hostage, it downgraded the U.S.'s debt to AA+ from AAA for the first time ever.

So far, not much has seemed to change. The markets reacted by jumping out of stocks and buying up Treasuries, keeping their interest rate low, even though those Treasuries were the very things downgraded. Many were also bracing for a rise in the prime rate, but so far no dramatic changes seem to have taken place. The prime rate is the rate banks give to their most creditworthy customers and against which rates for the rest of us are set, which is in turn based off of the fed funds rate, set by the Federal Reserve -- the interest rate that banks pay to borrow money from each other. Banks are currently borrowing their money for next to nothing (.75%) and charging the most creditworthy customers (usually large corporations) 3.25%. For credit card borrowers, the average interest rate is currently about 15%. (Pretty easy to see how much it rises the further down the food chain you go.) But so far interest rates are falling after the downgrade. The rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage is down to 4.39%. And there was more good news out of the Fed's very pessimistic report yesterday: it's planning to keep the target federal funds rate close to zero, as it has been, which helps keep the prime rate low.

But all of this could change if the downgrade leads to higher interest rates on Treasuries, which is a pretty logical reaction to S&P declaring them riskier investments. If the U.S. ends up having to pay more interest on its debt, interest rates are likely to rise across the board, and that could push up the prime rate. If that rate goes up, credit card rates are almost sure to skyrocket. Some are predicting that this is the way things will go. "Eventually the downgrade will catch up with Uncle Sam, and consumers and businesses will also pay higher rates," Greg McBride, senior financial analyst for Bankrate.com, told the Washington Post.

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And as Beverly Blair Harzog noted, the CARD Act is unlikely to be helpful in shielding borrowers from interest rate hikes. She writes:

Even if you've had your card less than a year, when your rate is tied to an index, such as the prime rate, your bank doesn't even have to send you a 45-day advance notice.

But what if you've had your card for more than a year? Your interest rate is fair game... The industry gets spooked easily whenever anything threatens revenue. It's possible that banks will raise interest rates even higher than the increase associated with the prime rate.

Oh, you'll get the highly-touted 45 days' notice, but your new, higher rate will be applied to purchases on the 15th day after the notice is mailed to you. You get 45 days before you have to begin paying the new rate.

The silver lining is for savers, not borrowers. If interest rates rise for Treasuries, banks will have to offer higher interest rates for products like CDs and savings accounts to compete. Otherwise, consumers can simply move their money to Treasuries to get a nice return. And Americans are working hard to move from borrowing to saving. We spent more paying down credit card debts than buying things in 2009 and 2010 -- by $72 billion.

But with wages and income falling after the recession, it will be more difficult to make that switch. Instead, as consumers most need to fall back on credit cards to struggle through tough times, they may find themselves paying even more to do so. All because our political parties are so dysfunctional that they inspire little confidence in anyone.

Bryce Covert is Assistant Editor at New Deal 2.0.

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Welcome to the (Wageless) Recovery

Aug 4, 2011Bryce Covert

On top of high unemployment, we're suffering from a drop in wages in the aftermath of the recession.

This week's credit check: Wage growth fell from 3.8% in May 2007 to 1.8% in May 2011. Wage growth over the past decade was below Great Depression levels.

On top of high unemployment, we're suffering from a drop in wages in the aftermath of the recession.

This week's credit check: Wage growth fell from 3.8% in May 2007 to 1.8% in May 2011. Wage growth over the past decade was below Great Depression levels.

It was a year ago this week that Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner welcomed America to its recovery. "We suffered a terrible blow, but we are coming back," he assured us, and he had a lot of "good news to report": businesses in a "strong financial position," banks "strong and more competitive," and American families saving more. But that last point may tell a slightly different story. While corporations are seeing nice profits again and banks are back to their usual wheeling and dealing, Americans are still scrimping and saving, even a year later. This recovery period hasn't felt like a recovery for the average worker, who is still struggling desperately to make ends meet. And beyond the fact that this is clearly a jobless recovery, another reason all of us are still wounded from the crash is that this is also a wageless recovery.

An analysis from the Economic Policy Institute shows that we're not just suffering from high unemployment in the aftermath of the recession. We're also experiencing falling pay for those who are lucky enough to have work. It reports that "wage growth has tumbled in the recession and its aftermath, falling from an annual growth rate of 3.8% in May 2007 to a rate of 1.8% in May 2011." Even the employed are worse off, bringing in less pay for their work.

And wages were pathetic even before the crash. While there are many parallels between our era and the Great Depression, that time period beats us in wage growth. As Jed Graham puts it, "Over the past decade, real private-sector wage growth has scraped bottom at 4%, just below the 5% increase from 1929 to 1939, government data show." So as wages fall after the Great Recession, they come on top of the fact that we had less to begin with heading into the financial crisis than people living under Hoover.

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Fittingly, then, income is also falling during the "recovery." Total income was down about 15% between 2007 and 2009.  New tax data that came out yesterday showed that in 2009, average income fell 6.1% to $54,283, losing $3,516 since 2008. That's the lowest level since 1997.

All of this comes on top of the trillions in wealth Americans lost in the crash -- little of which has been recouped. According to figures from the Federal Reserve, US household wealth fell by about $16.4 trillion of net worth from just before the recession to the worst of it in the beginning of 2009. Since then, Americans have regained only a little more than half of that, or $8.7 trillion. That stands in contrast to GDP, which has regained all of its losses. The picture is far, far bleaker for people of color. According to Census Bureau data, the median wealth for Hispanic households fell by 66% from 2005 to 2009 and by 53% for African Americans.

If wages continue to stall and unemployment remains outrageously high, we'll likely stay in this weak "recovery." When asked what's holding back the US economy, Deutsche Bank economist Carl Riccadonna responded, "It's the weakness in consumer spending." Workers spending their hard-earned paychecks (aka consumer spending) accounts for 70% of our economy.

As millions continue to look for work and employed workers bring less home, Americans should be able to turn to a government increasing job growth and promoting wages. But with unionization down and the government fixated on austerity, few are championing the needs of workers. Where will they turn instead when in need of cash to pay for the basics? Credit card companies, who will be glad to lend them money for outrageous fees and interest rates.

Bryce Covert is Assistant Editor at New Deal 2.0.

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Higher Profits and Lower Wages are No Mistake

Jul 27, 2011Bryce Covert

Businesses have found ways to squeeze workers and boost the bottom line.

This week's credit check: Profit margins for the S&P 500 have increased by 1.3% from 2000-2007. 53% of workers recently reported taking on new roles, while only 7% got a bonus or a raise.

Businesses have found ways to squeeze workers and boost the bottom line.

This week's credit check: Profit margins for the S&P 500 have increased by 1.3% from 2000-2007. 53% of workers recently reported taking on new roles, while only 7% got a bonus or a raise.

I recently pointed out that the so-called recovery is mostly a corporate recovery, while the average American is actually faring worse in terms of income. It turns out that this is no accident. Corporate profits are up, in many cases, because wages are down.

In its July 11 edition of its Eyes On The Market investor report, JP Morgan reports that profit margins for the S&P 500 have increased by 1.3% from 2000-2007. This is a level "not seen in decades." How has this amazing feat been accomplished? The report puts it plainly: "reductions in wages and benefits explain the majority of the net improvement in margins." And as Zaid Jilani notes at ThinkProgress, "[T]he JP Morgan report explains this behavior taking place between 2000 and 2007, meaning that it began long before the Great Recession." He also points out that this section ends with the statement, "US labor compensation is now at a 50-year low relative to both company sales and US GDP." USA! USA!

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Another way companies are squeezing workers to boost profits? The Great American Speedup. Catherine Rampell reports in the NYTimes that hours worked have outpaced household income for traditional families. So even though median wages for two-parent families have grown 23% since 1975, the hours they worked over the course of a year have grown by 26%. This is part of the trend Mother Jones spotted just this month: Americans overall are working harder without getting more pay. The article reports, "Americans now put in an average of 122 more hours per year than Brits, and 378 hours (nearly 10 weeks!) more than Germans." Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal picked up on a recent Spherion Staffing survey that showed workers taking on more tasks during the recession without anything in return. In the survey, 53% of workers reported taking on new roles, while only 7% said they got a bonus or a raise. Even if this practice began before the recession, the dismal job market isn't giving workers any leverage to protest when companies drop more work into their laps with no compensation.

It comes as no shock, then, that the IMF's annual assessment of the US economy highlighted how difficult the recovery has been for consumers. On the one hand, it notes, "Financial conditions have improved, particularly for large firms that face favorable bond financing terms... On the bright side, exports and the performance of businesses and the financial sector have improved significantly." But on the other, "Housing and labor markets have been the weakest links," and "the current recovery has been held back by significant adverse feedback loops between housing, consumption, and employment." In other words, Wall Street's humming along while consumers struggle through.

Despite all of these odds, Americans are trying desperately to get away from credit card debt. Although credit cards have acted as a safety net for families with stagnating wages, in the wake of the credit bubble burst we're paying more toward our bills than new purchases. A new report out today from TransUnion finds that consumers have spent $72 billion more from 2009-2010 on paying down their credit card debt than buying stuff. Compare that to the fact that between 2004 and 2008, we were spending $2.1 billion more on purchases than on bill payments. This is good news, but these efforts are going to be for naught if wages and employment don't rise. With income barely coming in, consumers will have no where to turn but debt.

Bryce Covert is Assistant Editor at New Deal 2.0.

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Dodd-Frank Made No Structural Changes to Banking System

Jul 21, 2011Matt Stoller

A former Congressional staffer sees Dodd-Frank as a lost opportunity to rebuild a financial system in line with public needs. (Follow Matt Stoller on Twitter at @matthewstoller).

A former Congressional staffer sees Dodd-Frank as a lost opportunity to rebuild a financial system in line with public needs. (Follow Matt Stoller on Twitter at @matthewstoller).

I was a staffer on the Dodd-Frank legislative package, and the whole process seemed odd from the very beginning. There was no attempt initially to ask the question, "what happened and what should we do about it?" There was no examination of the purpose of a banking system, and how to rebuild a system that aligns the public with the financial industry. There was no attempt to build legitimacy through a public education campaign about what Congress and the administration was doing, and why. Instead, legislators and very serious men in suits started throwing around terms like "systemic risk regulator" and "resolution authority", and then used the idea of a Consumer Financial Protection Bureau as a palliative for liberals.

My specific focus on the bill was the provision to audit the Federal Reserve, which was one of the bright spots (another could be the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau). This provision opened up the Fed's emergency lending facilities and its discount window to the spotlight, allowing for the beginning of a real debate over our monetary system. But overall, the Dodd-Frank bill was significant for its lack of significance.

In retrospect, this was by design. Congress created a panel -- the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission -- to examine the cause of the financial crisis. But this panel had a mandate to deliver its recommendations after the passage of Dodd-Frank. In other words, Congress and the administration did not design Dodd-Frank to prevent another financial crisis. So what was the purpose of the bill? I suspect this can only be answered by looking at the overall policy thrust of the government since the beginning of the financial crisis.

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The clearest explanation is by Roosevelt Institute Fellows Tom Ferguson and Rob Johnson in their series on the Paulson Put. While a shadow bailout took place through the Federal Home Loan banks and the Federal Reserve from 2007 onward, eventually a fiscal and regulatory solution would become necessary. The first significant legislation in this thrust was the famous Bazooka bill (or Housing and Economic Recovery Act) signed in June 2008 that allowed Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson to take over and pump unlimited sums into Fannie and Freddie. The second was the TARP. Both of these bills were pivotal to providing the government with enough firepower to overcome the solvency crisis.

After the immediate crisis was contained, losses were socialized, and profits returned to financial executives, Congress had to put together a "solution". It would have a giant bite at the apple in restructuring our regulatory apparatus. But in order to perpetrate the oligarchic banking structure, it would be important that no structural changes to the industry be implemented. Not one regulator was fired for his or her part in the crisis. The Justice Department adopted a posture of legalizing financial control fraud by refusing to prosecute anyone involved in the meltdown, and continues to allow millions of cases of foreclosure fraud to continue. Ben Bernanke was renominated, and the administration fought a bitter below-the-radar battle to secure his confirmation. With a few modest exceptions, the risk-taking and leverage in our financial markets continues apace, and the deregulatory neoliberal mindset is still dominant. The Federal Reserve has been audited, but the system is now accountability-free for high level operatives in finance and politics. And now that Elizabeth Warren has been thrown overboard by the administration, the lockdown of the financial system is nearly complete.

And mostly, that's what Dodd-Frank accomplished. It rearranged regulatory offices and delivered a new set of mandates, but effected no structural changes to our banking system. Congress never asked what happened, or why, or even, what kind of banking system do we want? And that's because Obama's Treasury Secretary already had the answers to these questions.

The one dangling thread, and this is what worries the administration, is the housing market. But we'll save that problem for another day.

Matt Stoller is a Fellow at the Roosevelt Institute and the former Senior Policy Advisor to Congressman Alan Grayson.

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The CFPB Moves Ever Closer to Getting Out on its Beat

Jul 20, 2011Bryce Covert

Tomorrow it takes on a host of oversight powers, and the nomination of Richard Cordray as director is one more step toward full functionality.

Tomorrow it takes on a host of oversight powers, and the nomination of Richard Cordray as director is one more step toward full functionality.

It was disappointing to find out over the weekend that Elizabeth Warren won't be picked as the first director of her brainchild, the new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Warren was the one to envision such a thing in the first place, wondering why toaster ovens were better regulated than mortgages -- when being seduced into a subprime loan could explode a consumer's financial life. She's been an outspoken -- and plainly spoken -- advocate for the average consumer for many years.

But Obama's pick, Richard Cordray, is no lightweight in consumer advocacy and is likely to do some real good at the helm of the Bureau. As Mike Konczal put it in an earlier post, "Cordray took the problems in the foreclosure fraud crisis very seriously while in Ohio, going as far as to sue GMAC when the robosigning scandal broke last October... Beyond GMAC, Cordray sent letters to Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Citi and Wells Fargo to question their use of robosigning." He has a record of being unafraid to challenge banks over sketchy practices, which is just what we need.

The even more exciting news about all of this, though, is that the CFPB is closer than ever to being fully operational. With or without the Cordray pick, starting tomorrow the CFPB assumes the powers to oversee banks that were already housed in other agencies. That includes sending examiners in to inspect the books of banks with more than $10 billion in assets, ensuring that the biggest banks are abiding by credit card laws (including the CARD Act), crafting new rules to go after banks that try to circumvent credit card laws, finishing up rules banning lenders from doling out mortgages without verifying income, creating new rules under existing consumer protection laws, and making sure that a consumer who's denied a loan based on a bad credit score can see a copy of the score for free. As Warren herself put it, "On Thursday, the CFPB makes its transition from a start-up to a real, live agency with the authority to write rules and to supervise the activities of America's largest banks." Consolidating these oversights and cracking down to make sure big lenders are following the rules is a huge step forward for all consumers.

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There's still some bad news, though. Without a Senate-confirmed director, the Bureau can't take on any new powers that weren't previously housed somewhere else. While Obama has nominated Cordray, he still has to pass muster with the Senate -- where 44 Republicans have vowed to block not just Warren, but anyone nominated to the post without serious (and totally debilitating) changes made to the Bureau's structure. If no director is confirmed, the Bureau lacks the authority to supervise nonbank lenders, which haven't ever really been under regulatory scrutiny before. Nonbank lenders have a far reach into Americans' pockets -- 17 million of us are considered unbanked, which means they don't have a relationship with a traditional bank such as a checking account. Those people, and others who traditional banking products don't serve for various reasons, have to turn to payday lenders, check cashers, prepaid debit cards, and other unregulated, costly alternatives. These products can lead to over $1,100 in fees each year and they tend to prey upon low-income communities. No one has had oversight over these kinds of lenders, although there is clearly the need for reform and transparency.

The nonbank industry itself, however, is already welcoming the fact that it might skip oversight. Bill Cosgrove, president and chief executive of nonbank lender Union National Mortgage Company, told the Huffington Post it would be a "positive" for the industry. It likely would. And that means a negative for consumers.

Bryce Covert is Assistant Editor at New Deal 2.0.

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