A Leaner, Meaner Defense Strategy Can Reduce the Deficit

May 31, 2011Reese Neader

us-great-sealAs the Roosevelt Institute Campus Network releases its progressive, practical Budget for a Millennial America, those who helped craft it will explain their innovative ideas and tough choices in a series of posts.

us-great-sealAs the Roosevelt Institute Campus Network releases its progressive, practical Budget for a Millennial America, those who helped craft it will explain their innovative ideas and tough choices in a series of posts. Reese Neader outlines five key changes to defense that would make us safer while saving us money.

To achieve our long-term fiscal sustainability goals and win the 21st century, we need to rethink our approach to national defense. Any serious plan to address our long-term debt will include cuts to defense spending, not just because we spend too much on defense, but also because our current spending priorities do not address the changing threats to US national security.

The Roosevelt Institute Campus Network has released its Budget for Millennial America, a plan for fiscal sustainability that reflects the long-term values and priorities of the next American generation. A key piece of our budget is a defense spending plan that outlines a ‘Millennial Grand Strategy,' which cuts wasteful defense spending and makes investments to ensure our future security.

During the Cold War, there was a clear overarching goal for US foreign policy: contain and defeat communism. But since its end, when the US became the world's only superpower, we have operated without a coherent long-term strategy that defines our position in the international system, outlines our goals for engagement with other countries, and provides a plan for ensuring that our foreign policy builds our national prosperity. We need a ‘Grand Strategy' to ensure that America wins the 21st century. Our plan includes five key components:

1. Confront New Threats
There are approximately 440,000 US troops stationed or deployed overseas, close to the number overseas at the close of the Cold War. The threats to US national security have changed dramatically since the fall of the Berlin Wall; rogue non-state actors, transnational criminal networks, and failing states that serve as safe havens for extremism are the new security threats. These new challenges demand a new strategic approach. By rebalancing the deployment of US forces overseas away from Cold War bases in Europe and East Asia, the US can be more responsive and agile in addressing global threats. And by ending costly wars of occupation in Iraq and Afghanistan, US forces can be redirected towards supporting small-scale counter-terrorism operations like the recent, successful campaign to eliminate Osama bin Laden.

2. Deploy New Tools
War is always the result of political failure. By investing in the infrastructure of developing countries and engaging in effective diplomacy with the international community, the US can save trillions of dollars by avoiding potential conflicts. There is strong bi-partisan consensus that 21st century threats need to be addressed with a mix of foreign policy tactics, placing a stronger emphasis on development and diplomacy as effective tools of statecraft, a concept commonly referred to as "smart power." The government needs to reform our foreign policy institutions to encourage cooperation and collaboration between networks. This approach will require rebalancing funding levels for the State Department and US foreign assistance programs. By mixing the use of defense, development, and diplomacy, the United States can reduce expenditures and work more effectively to ensure global stability.

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3. Share the Cost of Security
America can also fight more effectively by working closely with its partners to decrease the risk of polarization and militarization in the international system. Instead of always shouldering the burden to preserve global stability, the US can work as a "super-partner" with its allies, providing key assistance to regional powers. In effect, the U.S. will get more bang for its buck, reducing spending on intervention and increasing the impact of foreign aid by getting the same security results for less dollars spent.

4. Fix a Broken Procurement System
While the US military has made commendable strides towards modernizing its fighting force to address current threats to the international system, Congress has consistently refused to reform a broken weapons procurement system. Every year, billions of dollars are wasted in paying for weapons programs that the military doesn't want because defense contractors have close relationships with Congress. Instead of spending money in an efficient and transparent manner, Congress continues to support a system that operates like a corporate welfare giveaway. Our military needs the ability to more tightly control the arms procurement process and modernize its fighting forces to address 21st century threats.

5. Build Shared Prosperity on Renewable Energy
Our military also keeps our country safe by promoting American prosperity. Many major commercial innovations of the past 75 years have come, directly or indirectly, from military research: satellites, the microchip, the Internet. Right now, the innovations will need to come in building a new energy infrastructure. During the 20th century, American prosperity was ensured in large part by access to cheap and reliable oil. But in the 21st century, we will have to transition toward using renewable energy resources. Investing in renewable energy research now will help ensure America's global leadership, promote our continued prosperity, and save us money by diverting potential future conflicts over access to energy. The US military has correctly identified climate change and energy security as key threats to our national security. With increased funding channeled from other savings in our proposal, the Department of Defense can be positioned to lead our country's efforts towards achieving energy independence in the 21st century.

To achieve our long-term fiscal goals and win the 21st century, we need to rethink our approach to national defense. Not only does our ‘Millennial Grand Strategy,' part of the Budget for Millennial America, make sense given our budget and global resource constraints, but it also expresses sound policies that will save America money, restore our image abroad, and save American lives.

Reese Neader is the Roosevelt Campus Network’s Policy Director.

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Egypt's Fortunes Tied to the Fate of Women

May 27, 2011Lynn Parramore

Today, protesters gather in Cairo's Tahrir Square to demand democratic reforms from military rulers. What will this 'Second Revolution" mean for women?

"Strong women will burn in afterlife!"

Today, protesters gather in Cairo's Tahrir Square to demand democratic reforms from military rulers. What will this 'Second Revolution" mean for women?

"Strong women will burn in afterlife!"

Mohammad, my tour guide on an April trip to Egypt, said it with  a jovial smile. A college-educated guy in his late 30s, Mohammad sported stylish Western clothing and liked to hold forth on his religious tolerance and enthusiasm for a new era prosperity and freedom in his native land. He was kidding about women and the afterlife. Kind of.

The problem was his wife. She refused to do all of the cooking and cleaning. Somewhere along the way she had picked up 'crazy feminist ideas'. They mostly lived apart now. Mohammad felt cheated out of the kind of wife that was rightfully his. "Um, would you consider sharing some of the household duties?" I ventured. "Treating it like a partnership?"

He turned puzzled eyes to me. "I don't want a partner!" he insisted. "I want a wife."

In Egypt, attitudes toward women are historically complex and culturally loaded -- some represent a reaction to past domination of the country by Western imperial powers. Recent events, such as the sectarian violence between Coptic Christians and Muslims, have highlighted issues of women, sexuality, and marriage, while the forced "virginity checks" on female protesters by authorities who stripped, photographed, and groped Egyptian women have turned attention to issues of pervasive violence and harassment.

There have been hopeful signs that the status of women may improve in a new era. But there are also ominous indications that the path to equality will be long and rocky. The army in charge of the country since the Revolution has appointed just one woman to the new cabinet and zero female governors. Not a single female jurist has been named to be part of a committee formed to amend the constitution. The Egyptian Center for Women's Rights (ECWR) reports that a proposal is under consideration that would jettison the quota for women in the Egyptian parliament for the election that will decide the first post-Mubarak government. This quota, which has changed several times since its beginnings in 1983, was updated in 2010 to mandate that roughly 13 % of parliament seats go to women. Without it, female representation in government is likely to plummet. Contrast this state of affairs with Tunisia, where the transitional government has declared that for new elections in July, every political party must present equal numbers of male and female candidates.

As a tourist in Egypt traveling up the Nile, I was naturally immersed in Egypt's ancient history -- a world in which women enjoyed high status compared to the rest of the ancient world. They could manage property, resolve legal settlements, and marry and divorce as they pleased.  Herodotus, the world's first historian, traveled to Egypt and was astonished by the status of women in Egyptian society, remarking, perhaps with a bit of hyperbole, that "amongst them the women attend markets and traffic, but the men stay at home and weave". Fast-forward to the 21st century: As of 2005, the literacy rate for women in Egypt was 59.4 percent%, whereas men enjoyed an 83% rate. Women have unequal access to divorce and face restrictions on travel. Unless they are accompanied by a male relative, they may be refused service in a shop or a restaurant.

As we moved from Cairo to some of the smaller cities and villages along the Nile, Mohammad pointed out the women in voluminous black robes, some wearing the niqab, a veil which covers the face but for a tiny eye slit. "That's too much," he said, shaking his head. Mohammad had two daughters and did not require them to wear the more conservative veils.  He also had no intention of subjecting them to the genital mutilation that is still extremely common. As we discussed this practice -- which ranges from the excision of the clitoris to the removal of the outer labia and the sewing up of nearly the entire vaginal region -- I asked him how many of the women in Cairo had had some form of the procedure done. "About 75%," he said. And what about the rest of Egypt? "100%," he said. Statistics bear him out. The incidence is officially 78–97%, and though Egypt's Ministry of Health and Population banned the practice in 2007, it will be extremely difficult to eradicate.

The practice of female genital mutilation (FGM) is one of the more dramatic examples of the challenges Egyptian women face. It distorts their sexual sexual lives, impacts their psychology, and makes them vulnerable to a host of medical complications, some of them fatal. The economics are complex. In poorer regions, marriagability is a key consideration for families whose daughters may be rejected as potential wives without it.  Those who perform the rite, often women, may have few other options for supporting themselves. Beyond that, women facing the common and often chronic health complications can't perform the work that sustains their families and communities, particularly in agricultural regions. The entire economy suffers.

In his recent speech on the Middle East, President Obama drew a link between a country's prospects and its treatment of women:

History shows that countries are more prosperous and peaceful when women are  empowered. That is why we will continue to insist that universal rights apply to women as well as men – by focusing assistance on child and maternal health; by helping women to teach, or start a business; by standing up for the right of women to have their voices heard, and to run for office. For the region will never reach its potential when more than half its population is prevented from achieving their potential.

The Egyptian Revolution captured the world's imagination by toppling a corrupt dictator. But the military regime has shown little interest in having women in leadership positions or in changing laws that negatively impact their lives. An Egyptian democratic structure and economy which fully empowers women is critical to progress in the entire region, where Egypt's influence is immense.

"Egypt is a very good place for men," observed Mohammad, lighting a cigarette as he described to me how Egyptian women are taught not argue with men and to defer to their authority.

Maybe so. But until Egypt is a good place for women, too, the country will never truly prosper.

Lynn Parramore is the editor of New Deal 2.0, Media Fellow at the Roosevelt Institute, co-founder of Recessionwire, and the author of Reading the Sphinx.

**Follow Lynn Parramore on Twitter at http://www.twitter.com/lynnparramore

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President Obama Reaffirms the "Special Relationship" with the UK

May 26, 2011David Woolner

The bond between the US and the UK runs deep, especially when it comes to their economies.

The bond between the US and the UK runs deep, especially when it comes to their economies.

In an historic speech before both houses of the British Parliament yesterday, President Obama reaffirmed the "special relationship" between Great Britain and the United States. He made reference to the joint sacrifices both countries have made on the battlefield in defense of freedom, taking special note of the wartime alliance and friendship between Winston Churchill and Franklin Roosevelt that helped give birth to the relationship as the two nations fought "side by side to free a continent from the march of tyranny."

References to the alliance between Great Britain and the United States in World War II are of course entirely appropriate, as the "special relationship" as we know it began in the dark days of 1939-40. But the President also made reference to the two countries' strong economic ties and the fact that today we "live in a global economy that is largely of our own making."

Here, too, the President is correct. Yet most Americans remain largely unaware of this economic aspect of the "special relationship." Much of the global economy we operate in today does indeed have its origins not in the 1980s or 90s, but the 1940s, as Great Britain and the United States struggled to defeat fascism in Europe and Asia.

To understand this, let's take a look at the link between the Great Depression and World War II -- especially from the American perspective. For Franklin Roosevelt and his Secretary of State Cordell Hull, this link was not only obvious, but tragic. The two men, in fact, were absolutely convinced that the cause of the Second World War lay in the economic depravity and dislocation of trade and commerce that were the hallmarks of the Great Depression. Near the end of the war, for example, in his State of the Union address of January 1944, FDR observed that we "had come to a clear realization...that true individual freedom cannot exist without economic security and independence. Necessitous men are not free men. People who are hungry and out of a job are the stuff of which dictatorships are made." And as early as the early 1930s, Cordell Hull was frequently quoted as saying, "If goods cannot cross borders, armies will."

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As a consequence of these beliefs, the Roosevelt administration committed itself to the concept of freer trade, beginning with the passage of Hull's Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act in 1934 and continuing right up through the war. Hull's policies took the United States in a new direction away from the high tariff policies of the Hoover years, and in many respects laid the foundation for the opening up of the world's trade immediately after the end of the Second World War. This was best exemplified by the establishment of the General Agreement on Tariff and Trade (GATT) in 1947.

Ironically, in response to the high tariffs of the Hoover administration, the British had established an intra-Empire trading system called "Imperial Preference" in 1932 that allowed most goods within the British Commonwealth to be traded with little or no tariff while keeping US goods out. This was an anathema to Hull, and during the war he used the leverage of Lend-Lease aid to try to get the British to drop it. Hull was never able to get the sort of rock solid commitment to ending Imperial Preference he would have liked, but under Article VII of the 1942 Lend Lease Consideration Agreement (governing Lend-Lease aid), the British did agree to take "joint action directed towards the creation of a liberalized international economic order in the postwar world."

By 1944, US military and economic preponderance was such that there was little doubt the Roosevelt administration had the upper hand in the "special relationship." As such, the agreements that were negotiated and signed at Bretton Woods and Dumbarton Oaks that year (establishing the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and laying the groundwork for the United Nations) largely reflected the American, as opposed to the British, negotiating positions. The same was true a few years later when the GATT was signed in Geneva.

Viewed from this perspective, the Second World War was as much about the re-ordering of the world's economic system along American -- and away from British -- lines as it was about defeating fascism in Europe and Asia. Still, there is no question that during these years the United States considered British cooperation in this effort not only vital, but essential, for without it they doubted their plans for a new world order could succeed. While it may true that Great Britain has always been America's junior in the transatlantic partnership, President Obama is correct when he says that the Anglo-American relationship is not merely "special" but "essential" to the development of "a world that is more peaceful, more prosperous, and more just."

David Woolner is a Senior Fellow and Hyde Park Resident Historian for the Roosevelt Institute.

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Lynn Parramore: Solitary Confinement is "a Mark of Shame on Our Society"

May 18, 2011

ND2.0 editor Lynn Parramore appeared on RTAmerica this week to discuss the use of solitary confinement, a subject she first tackled in a post on the treatment of Bradley Manning. Isolation remains popular in supermax prisons throughout the country, where the trend of privatization brings human rights and economics into conflict. As a practical matter, Lynn notes that it often makes prisoners more deranged and thus more dangerous. It's even more troubling from an ethical perspective, as she argues that "putting a mentally ill prisoner in solitary confinement is like putting somebody with pneumonia out on an Arctic tundra" and "turns doctors into participants" in their patients' abuse -- a concern shared by Roosevelt Institute Fellow Mike Konczal. Check out the interview below for more of Lynn's thoughts on why solitary confinement is a form of torture and "a mark of shame on our society."

ND20 editor Lynn Parramore appeared on RTAmerica this week to discuss the use of solitary confinement, a subject she first tackled in a post on the treatment of Bradley Manning. Isolation remains popular in supermax prisons throughout the country, where the trend of privatization brings human rights and economics into conflict. As a practical matter, Lynn notes that it often makes prisoners more violent and dangerous. It's even more troubling from an ethical perspective, as she argues that "putting a mentally ill prisoner in solitary confinement is like putting somebody with pneumonia out on an Arctic tundra" and "turns doctors into participants" in their patients' abuse -- a concern shared by Roosevelt Institute Fellow Mike Konczal. Check out the interview below for more of Lynn's thoughts on why solitary confinement is a form of torture and a "mark of shame" that our society will be judged for in the future.

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Ten Years After 9/11, It's Still Good Guys Vs. Bad Guys

May 5, 2011Bryce Covert

Even as a young person, I was more interested in the gray areas than in good versus evil.

In announcing Osama bin Laden's death, President Obama invoked a simpler time in our country when we all rallied together in the wake of national tragedy:

Even as a young person, I was more interested in the gray areas than in good versus evil.

In announcing Osama bin Laden's death, President Obama invoked a simpler time in our country when we all rallied together in the wake of national tragedy:

On September 11, 2001, in our time of grief, the American people came together. We offered our neighbors a hand, and we offered the wounded our blood. We reaffirmed our ties to each other, and our love of community and country. On that day, no matter where we came from, what God we prayed to, or what race or ethnicity we were, we were united as one American family... [T]onight, let us think back to the sense of unity that prevailed on 9/11.

A New York Times article a few days later talked to young people who grew up in the shadow of that event and celebrated bin Laden's death in the streets. It describes some of the celebratory scenes that broke out that night:

In Washington, college students spilled in front of the White House chanting "U.S.A! U.S.A.!" and puffing cigars. In State College, Pa., 5,000 students waved flags, blew vuvuzelas, and sang the national anthem and the chorus to Bruce Springsteen's "Born in the U.S.A." Cheering students jumped into Mirror Lake at Ohio State -- as they do with big football games -- and swelled the Common in Boston.

The young people in the article say their jubilation at his death is due to the black and white outlook September 11th gave them. "The attacks were the first time they had considered that people in the rest of the world might harbor ill will toward Americans," the article says. "The experience established the world in polarities of black and white, with Bin Laden being the new emblem of evil." Neil Howe, a writer and historian, told the Times that for my generation, "Evil is evil, good is good. There are no antiheroes, there is no gray area. This is a Harry Potter vignette, and Voldemort is dead."

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But my experience of that time and the years since has been significantly different. I was in my senior year high school English class when I was told that planes had hit the World Trade Center. What President Obama remembers fondly as unity, I remember as a time filled with blind uber-patriotism that was just barely covering deep grief and confusion. While the Times talked to students who felt the 9/11 attacks split the world into stark black and white relief, for me it became even grayer. It did indeed make me think about the fact that there were people in other parts of the world that hated Americans -- but that only prompted me to ask why. How could people so far away hate what America represented that they would want to kill so many of us? Hate us so much that they would give their lives to kill us? What had we done to create an image of ourselves in that part of the world that was so despicable? I lived in that gray area, trying to understand what it said about our country and our relationship with other countries, while everyone else I knew waved flags.

That was what felt so uncomfortable about the "unity," which translated into stars and stripes plastered along every surface, chants of "USA! USA!," and singing the national anthem. It was a way to not have to think about the complexities and tough questions that the event brought up. Chris Hayes saw this most clearly manifested in the huge rise in the use of the term "bad guys" after 9/11. "'Bad guys' was a phrase that channeled our rawest emotions in the wake of 9/11, emotions that we collectively mythologize," he wrote recently in The Nation.

To sing the national anthem, to put your hand on your heart, to fly the flag from your window, felt right and comforting, as if we could find collective refuge in this new and terrifying but refreshingly simple world we had suddenly come to inhabit -- a world in which we were attacked, a world in which we must defend ourselves, a world in which bad guys were out there and wanted to do us harm.

It was that thirst for a world in which we were good and the others were bad that led to our entrance into a war in Afghanistan to seek revenge, he writes. And it was a desire for things to be simpler than they really were.

I found myself feeling that discomfort once again as I watched people pour into the streets and proudly shout, "We got the bastard!" after the announcement of bin Laden's death. It furthers the "bad guyism," as Hayes puts it, that kept us from questioning ourselves as a nation in the aftermath of the attacks. There's no sense in telling people how they should feel in reaction to such an important event. Emotions rightly range from somber to relieved to joyful. But it's the way we talk about it in public, the way we come together as a nation to experience it, that says something about how we think of ourselves in relation to the world. We're still the good guys. And anyone who questions that is a bad guy.

Bryce Covert is Assistant Editor at New Deal 2.0.

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Will Bin Laden’s Death Bring Back Profit-Driven Prejudices? Glenn Beck is wondering…

May 5, 2011Lynn Parramore

For the next few days, I’ll be sharing notes from a recent trip to Egypt (April 22 - May 1).

When I arrived at the Cairo airport last week, a giant billboard greeted me: “We should raise our children to be like the Egyptian Youth,” proclaimed the sign, followed by the name of the person who spoke these words: Barack Obama, President of the U.S.

For the next few days, I’ll be sharing notes from a recent trip to Egypt (April 22 - May 1).

When I arrived at the Cairo airport last week, a giant billboard greeted me: “We should raise our children to be like the Egyptian Youth,” proclaimed the sign, followed by the name of the person who spoke these words: Barack Obama, President of the U.S.

The president made this statement at the White House in February, voicing a sense of global inspiration generated by the sight of Egyptian people fighting for freedom and democracy in Tahrir Square. He marveled at how the protests in Egypt brought together men and women of different faiths and noted how citizens from every country are united by common humanity. Since then, some of the boundaries of nationality and religion that divide the Middle East from the West have seemed to magically dissolve in a cloud of Internet connectivity and democracy fever. Last week, I felt completely welcome in Egypt, enjoying a hospitality that seemed to go beyond enthusiasm for my tourist dollars. Everywhere I went, Egyptians shouted “Obama!” when they recognized my nationality, eager to tell me what his 2009 speech in Cairo, appropriately called “A New Beginning”, had meant to them. Without prompting, they told me how much their trust had been restored following the exit of a president whose chest-thumping, simplistic rhetoric, and oil-soaked agenda had alienated this region.

In the years following the 9/11 attacks, the idea of friendship and mutual admiration between predominantly Judeo-Christian and Muslim countries was threatened by distrust and xenophobia based on a steady stream of misinformation and distortion. Back in 2002, I had planned to travel to Egypt to do research for a book, but at that time, flames of fear and hostility burned too hotly, stoked by the ever-proliferating Internet image of Mohamed Atta, the Egyptian who piloted the first plane into the World Trade Center. For a time, his face became a stand-in for the Great Foreign Islamic Menace. If you asked the average American to name one of the hijackers, chances are Atta’s is the name you will hear. This despite the fact that 15 out of 19 hijackers were Saudi Arabian. Exactly one was Egyptian. And Iraqis? Zero.

So why did the Egyptian get so much attention, even though the mastermind of the plot, Osama bin Laden, was also a Saudi? Since the dawn of Western history, Egypt has been conjured as the land of sin and wickedness. It served the political and cultural purposes of the early Hebrews, and sometimes, the Greeks, to disparage the older, more established culture so that they could forge their own new identities. Egyptians came to represent all that is bad, while Hebrews/Greeks/Romans/Fill-In-the-Blanks embodied all that is good. Egypt became the Stranger, the Shadow of the West. Deep cultural currents of suspicion towards Egypt are rather easy to call up, existing as they have for millennia.

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But that is not all. There are more recent political and economic expediencies that also rely on stereotype, which brings us back to the question of why the Saudis have largely escaped the rap for 9/11. Saudi Arabia, unlike Egypt, is an oil-rich country that can afford to hire world-class spin doctors, like the late Fred Dutton, to promote a positive image. It can afford to fund Middle East studies programs that present a favorable representation. And it can buy a lot of friends in the US. Until 9/11, the Saudis enjoyed virtual extraterritorial status in America. Following the attacks, Saudi nationals and royals were whisked out of the country, their safety a high priority of the Bush administration. The money trail between Saudi Arabia and Al Qaeda was downplayed and the link between the country and the hijackers dismissed.

In the following years, the vitriol of hate-hawking commentators has centered on a number of Middle Eastern countries, mostly those which do not have bottomless pockets. Case in point: in February, Glenn Beck blasted the Egyptian uprisings as a “threat the American way of life.” He suggested repeatedly that the American left had teamed up with jihadist forces to instigate the protests. But by then something unprecedented was happening on the global chessboard. Unfortunately for Beck, he had not gotten the memo that American elites and the global oil companies allied to them were no longer sure that xenophobia was a profitable strategy. Xenophobia, of course, is often the expression of deep economic and political currents, and at this juncture in history, nobody is sure which way the currents are going to flow. In the coming years, Big Oil and its allies may not be able to rely on the kind of cultural prejudice that was workable when the Middle East was run by corrupt autocrats. The stereotypes which had made sense to portions of America are suddenly questionable. Despite the sudden celebration of Bush-era waterboarding torture and aggression, there is a feeling of confusion among right-wingers about just who they are supposed to denigrate and why.

Just Tuesday, in the wake of bin Laden’s death, Glenn Beck lamented:

“I asked my radio audience today. What do we even stand for? Who are we? What do we believe in as a country? Who are our friends? I don't know. I don't know. Who are the allies and what's going on?”

Egypt may once again become a convenient screen on which to project Western hostility now that Al-Zawahri is seen as the most likely candidate to succeed bin Laden as the leader of Al Qaeda. And Egypt could flip back to autocracy. But that’s not going to happen any time soon. No matter what a scattered band of international criminals is up to, we are witnessing historic change in the Middle East driven by tectonic economic and political shifts. Beck and Bush represent the old ideology. In his last days on television, Beck can try to call up the old demons as he did on Tuesday, claiming that in “Egypt, since Mubarak has stepped down, anti-American sentiment has been growing. We're not real popular over there."

You only need to step off the plane in the Cairo airport to know that Beck is wrong. His is a world that no longer exists. What will replace it? No telling yet...

Lynn Parramore is the editor of New Deal 2.0, Media Fellow at the Roosevelt Institute fellow, co-founder of Recessionwire, and the author of Reading the Sphinx.

**Follow Lynn Parramore on Twitter at http://www.twitter.com/lynnparramore

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Time for an End to the “War on Terror”

May 5, 2011David Woolner

FDR laid out the Four Freedoms and took the moral high ground against Hitler's aggression. Obama should follow suit and work to win hearts and minds.

FDR laid out the Four Freedoms and took the moral high ground against Hitler's aggression. Obama should follow suit and work to win hearts and minds.

In a prescient article written a few months following the September 11 attacks, noted British military historian Michael Howard argued that the Bush Administration's decision to label our struggle with Al Qaeda the "war on terror" may have been a mistake. Howard takes issue with the use of the term "war" in part out of his conviction that its use elevates the status of the terrorists who should be seen not as military opponents, but rather as international criminals. He writes that they are no better than murderous drug traffickers who should be ruthlessly pursued with all the tools at our disposal, including the use of the criminal justice system. This is not to say that the military should be excluded from our struggle against Al-Qaeda and related organizations. On the contrary, in some parts of the world, as evidenced by the recent killing of Osama bin Laden, they must remain a vital component of this effort. But as we have known for some time, it is impracticable and unfair to expect our armed forces to "win" a "war" against such an amorphous enemy, and doing so creates unrealistic expectations. Our struggle against terrorism will not end in a spectacular battle. It will take years of plodding effort, and as we know from hard experience, it may never end completely.

In light of this, and in light of the fact that we have finally brought the mastermind of the September 11 attacks to justice, a growing chorus is calling on President Obama to bring the "war on terror" to an end. To a certain extent, the President has already done so. He rarely uses the phrase "war on terror." In his first few months in office, he took care to differentiate himself from his predecessor by stressing his desire to close the base Guantanamo, bring an end to combat operations in Iraq, and shift his administration's emphasis back to the conflict in Afghanistan. But his decision to keep Guantanamo open and dramatically increase the number of US combat forces in Afghanistan has led some of his critics to charge that American foreign policy has changed little under his tenure. The President, in short, may not refer to the "war on terror" all that often, but his policies in South Asia and elsewhere remain highly militaristic and in many respects it continues in all but name.

This is unfortunate, for as Howard notes, using military force as the lead instrument in the struggle against terrorism is fraught with risks and often plays into the terrorists' hands. Why? Because the potential loss of innocent life in the use of overt force against the terrorists often renders greater support among the local population for the terrorists as opposed to the military units aligned against them. As such, military action can be counter-productive, as terrorists can successfully be destroyed "only if public opinion... supports the authorities in regarding them as criminals rather than heroes." Moreover, in the last analysis, as Howard points out, the struggle against terrorism is fundamentally a battle for hearts and minds. If we wish to isolate the terrorists and hence greatly reduce their potential to carry out attacks, then perhaps it is time for a shift in emphasis -- both rhetorical and actual -- from the use of military force to a much greater use of existing national and international criminal justice agencies, backed where necessary by the traditional military and intelligence services.

In the long-run, then, our goal must be to win the battle for hearts and minds. Seventy years ago, when the United States faced a much more formidable enemy, FDR came to the same conclusion. In January 1941, he responded to Adolf Hitler's declaration that he had established "a new order in Europe" by articulating a different set of guiding principles to shape the allied war effort and inspire the rest of the world to join in the struggle. As opposed to Hitler's "new order," Roosevelt said, we proposed a "moral order" based on four essential human freedoms: freedom of speech and expression, freedom of worship, freedom from want, and freedom from fear. FDR may not have succeeded in bringing the benefits of the Four Freedoms to every corner of the globe, but his articulation of these simple yet eloquent values made the distinction between fascism and democracy as powerful as any weapon, inspiring a generation to struggle on for years in the face of a monstrous evil.

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De-militarizing our struggle with terrorism also makes a good deal of sense in light of other recent events in the Middle East, where the Arab Spring is rapidly ushering in a new generation of potential leaders committed to a more open and democratic system of government. For too many Arabs, the United States is still viewed as an aggressor state, more interested in protecting American interests than promoting democratic reform. By ending the war on terror, branding terrorists as international criminals (as opposed to political/military actors), and shifting our efforts to the criminal justice system, we send a powerful message not only to the people of the Middle East, but to other potentially dangerous regions of the world. We show that the United States remains committed above all else to the rule of law. Indeed, sending out this message at this critical juncture in the history of the Middle East may prove as powerful a weapon in our struggle against terrorism as the massive array of military force we have assembled in the region.

President Obama has made some serious steps in this direction through his somewhat halting support for the pro-democracy movements in Egypt and Tunisia and in his decision to protect the Libyan people from the savagery on Muammar Gaddafi. He also made the right decision two years ago when he publicly disavowed the use of torture and in his recent decision not to release the photos of the deceased Osama bin Laden on both security and moral grounds. But if we wish to draw a sharp distinction between the values the United States and its allies aspire to and the hatred, bigotry, and fear that stands at the heart of Al-Qaeda's terrorist network, then we need to do more. We should bring the "war on terror" to an end, wind down our involvement in Afghanistan, and place a greater focus on bringing international terrorists to justice. If President Obama will take this opportunity to signal that our foremost goal in the struggle against terrorism is to render justice and uphold the rule of law -- as opposed to engaging in a "war" against an extremist ideology -- he will strengthen our hand, make it easier for states such as Pakistan to join in the effort, and do much to marginalize the terrorists within their own communities.

With the death of Osama bin Laden, it is time for a new approach in our struggle against terrorism. It is time for us -- as it was for FDR in 1941 -- to regain the moral high ground. We must shift our emphasis from the instruments of war to the instruments of justice and treat the terrorists not as belligerents, but as criminals, whose disrespect for the rule of law and basic human rights will ultimately be defeated. Not on the battlefield, but through the exercise of justice.

David Woolner is a Senior Fellow and Hyde Park Resident Historian for the Roosevelt Institute.

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All the Wrong Lessons

May 4, 2011Jeff Madrick

Conservatives aren't simply misinformed about torture or economic policy.  They're blinded by ideology.

The Republicans are rushing to claim credit for George Bush’s interrogation techniques in the demise of Osama bin Laden. Someone being “interrogated” gave up the name of the courier who eight years later was tracked painstakingly to the Osama compound in Pakistan.

Conservatives aren't simply misinformed about torture or economic policy.  They're blinded by ideology.

The Republicans are rushing to claim credit for George Bush’s interrogation techniques in the demise of Osama bin Laden. Someone being “interrogated” gave up the name of the courier who eight years later was tracked painstakingly to the Osama compound in Pakistan.

The last time this Republican demand for retroactive credit happened in a big way to my recollection was when many Republicans, and media cheerleaders like Larry Kudlow of CNBC, were giving Ronald Reagan all the credit for the economic boom under Bill Clinton. Reagan’s last year in office was 1988. The boom began in 1996. More on this tragicomedy in a moment.

John Yoo, the legal scholar responsible for the outrageous White House briefs that okayed the harsh torture, congratulated President Obama in a blog post on Tuesday and then quickly credited Bush for the success in getting Osama—all his analysis based on first-day “press reports” about how the courier was identified. The law professor apparently saw no need to keep quiet until he got the facts. Peter King, one of the House Republican leaders most disturbed by Muslim presence, immediately credited water boarding for the breakthrough. No need for him to check the facts.

The New York Times now reports that the man in question was not water boarded. That did not stop the press from believing King and accepting his assertions as fact. (Let’s also keep in mind that the Times, if likely more diligent, depends on intelligence sources as well). In fact, The Times noted that higher up terrorist leaders who were subjected to intense interrogation methods did not corroborate the name. To the contrary, even under serious torture, they deliberately misled the U.S. intelligence officers. The White House National Security Council response, according to the Times, was that if they had had a reliable name in 2003, they would have captured Osama in 2003.

The central question is how easy it is to learn the wrong lessons from the Osama event. The Osama death opens a potential path to calmer relations and perhaps a true withdrawal from Afghanistan, meaningful negotiations with the Taliban, and regional cooperation that includes all-important Pakistan, a nation whose involvement is critical to the region (and has been to the Afghanistan war for the transport of troops and supplies). Instead, of course, we get outrage and congressional calls for punishment. We are told by our own macho extremists how effective torture was. No doubt, Pakistan has been playing this game both ways, and the U.S. should demand a clear relationship. But Pakistan has many internal issues to deal with, and is very uncomfortable with foreign presence in Afghanistan. The estimable international affairs columnist of the International Herald Tribune, William Pfafff, recommends reading someone with a serious, informed perspective on the issue, Anatol Lieven, of King’s College on the subject, author of a new book, Pakistan, A Hard Country. The idea should be to calm the waters and develop a salubrious relationship with Pakistan. Instead, we get vindictive shrieks of anger and demands for punishment.

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Similarly, the Right never learned the lessons from what were failed Reagan policies in the 1980s. They argued that lower progressive taxes on the wealthy in particular—after payroll tax hikes, they were lowered only slightly on balance for middle-calls and working class Americans—remade America, coupled with deregulation and a wave of hostile corporate takeovers (unchallenged by Reagan’s defanged anti-trust units). Mark Sirower, a McKinsey analyst, gave the lie to the poor value of most takeovers in his fine book, The Synergy Trap.

But the Clinton boom occurred after two tax increases—one under George H.W. Bush and the other engineered by Clinton himself. It was aided by a Federal Reserve that at last stopped fighting inflation tooth and nail. The leading edge of business was not the supposed lean and mean victors of the takeover wars but the new chip-based high-technology companies. All of course went to excess as regulations went unenforced. Finance was already producing phantom economic gains and bubbles that soon burst. Reagan, who so effectively pushed deregulation and appointed Alan Greenspan as Fed chairman, deserves more credit for those than the true economic gains.

George W. Bush, always embarrassed by his father, wanted to be just like Reagan. But under Reagan, wage growth stalled, inequality began to rise sharply, job growth was slower than in almost any other expansion since World War II, and capital investment was weak. The budget deficit rose to above 6 percent of GDP and did not fall even to 3 percent of GDP until late in his second term.

None of the facts deterred the younger Bush. He too implemented large tax cuts. Did they work? Not at all. But I find even some of the best business reporters are not aware of the true record. After the tax cuts, the Bush economy grew more slowly from trough to the 2007 peak (before the credit crisis and the start of the Great Recession), than any other trough-to-peak expansion in the post-war period. Job growth was far worse than in any similar expansion. Here are some data provided by the Economic Cycle Research Institute.

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In fact, it is Ronald Reagan and George Bush who are more responsible for the current budget deficits than any other presidents.

Will we draw the right lessons from the Osama death? It is unlikely because of entrenched ideological prejudices on the part of the Right. And these same prejudices account for making the enormous mistakes in economic policy today. History is a often weak sibling to ideology.

Roosevelt Institute Senior Fellow Jeff Madrick is the author of The Case for Big Government.

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One More Lesson from the Death of Bin Laden: A Leaner, Meaner Military Makes Fiscal Sense

May 4, 2011Reese Neader

military-tank-150The light footprint and successful execution of the mission proves we can keep America safer by spending less.

military-tank-150The light footprint and successful execution of the mission proves we can keep America safer by spending less.

My generation grew up with the War on Terror. On September 11, 2001, I was 19 years old, attending college and taking classes on international relations. Today I am 28 and we are remembering the victims of September 11th who have been served a measure of justice because Osama bin Laden has been laid to rest. As we reflect on how the events of the last decade have changed America's image abroad and domestic attitudes towards foreign policy, we can seize the moment. The successful mission to assassinate Osama bin Laden is the perfect example of a new, cost-effective approach to US national security. We can have a leaner, meaner fighting force to engage 21st century threats.

This month, the Roosevelt Institute Campus Network will present a ‘Budget for Millennial America' that outlines my generation's vision for the future of our country. We asked thousands of college students across the country to define their values and priorities for building a new America and convened working groups to develop comprehensive policy solutions based on those recommendations. The result is a budget that promotes social investment, public innovation, and fiscal sustainability. A key piece of this plan is a new approach to national security. The events of this past weekend illustrate the central theme of our national security plan: we can do more with less.

Last weekend, in a spectacular night-time raid, US Special Forces directed by the Joint Special Operations Command crossed over into Pakistan and assaulted bin Laden's compound. He was killed and transported out of the country. President Obama authorized the mission with instructions to kill bin Laden. US Special Forces, working closely with the CIA, used a small, rapid strike force to eliminate a high-value target. This mission is a powerful example of how effective the US military can be when it uses special operations to execute a clear plan of action; we can move fast, work cheaply, strike hard, and go home with a clear sense of mission accomplished.

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This operation stands in sharp contrast to the narrative of the Long War. The US occupation of Afghanistan in 2001 began as a manhunt for bin Laden. The following year, we began preparations for the unilateral invasion of Iraq to depose Sadam Hussein. The ‘War on Terror' mushroomed into multiple wars of occupation with no clear end goals that left the US military overburdened. To date, over 6,000 US soldiers have been killed and trillions of dollars spent on nation-building operations to stabilize Iraq and Afghanistan. By changing the way we engage similar threats, we can scale down our deployment of forces overseas, saving money and more effectively promoting our national security interests.

The bin Laden mission was not the first time that the US employed an effective, targeted military strategy in the War on Terror. Over the course of the past decade, the US has been engaged in highly successful counter-terrorism campaigns in North Africa, East Africa, the Arabian Peninsula, and the Philippines. Small contingents of US Special Forces and CIA operatives train and conduct exercises with indigenous forces. In these regions, US soldiers operate with a "light footprint," keeping a low profile by living with, supplying, and training their allies to hunt down the leadership of local terrorist networks. These operations are quick, cheap, and effective, and demonstrate the potential for a new emphasis for the use of American military power.

Last year, CIA director Leon Panetta announced that there were fewer than 100 members of Al Qaeda operating in Afghanistan. The US mission in Afghanistan is to deny a safe haven to terrorists. Period. The US military can replicate the successful models of engagement that it uses in other conflicts, working with a light global footprint and using wolfpacks of Special Forces and CIA operatives to hunt and disrupt terrorist operations, gather intelligence, and train indigenous forces. These are the tactics that we used to assassinate Osama bin Laden and they can be incorporated into a broader 'Grand Strategy' for US foreign policy.

Although it feels good to know that the victims of September 11th have been granted a measure of justice, the Long War fought in their name has taken 10 years, thousands of US casualties, and trillions of dollars to kill one man. But it doesn't need to. The US has proven that it can keep America and the world safe without long, expensive engagements like the Iraq War.

My generation wants to keep America safe. And we recognize that we need new models of military strategy to address 21st century threats. We recognize the need to put America on a track towards fiscal sustainability. And we recognize that exercising a leaner, meaner US foreign policy geared towards future threats will help us achieve that goal. With the release of our ‘Budget for Millennial America', the Roosevelt Institute Campus Network supports this new vision for US Grand Strategy.

Reese Neader is the Roosevelt Campus Network’s Policy Director.

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Will Egyptian Workers Get a New Deal?

May 3, 2011Lynn Parramore

For the next few days, I’ll be sharing notes from a recent trip to Egypt (April 22 - May 1).

For the next few days, I’ll be sharing notes from a recent trip to Egypt (April 22 - May 1).

Standing in front of the Great Pyramid at Giza last Sunday, I imagined --  as have many before me -- the incredible human energy that must have poured into the construction. Popular lore and Hollywood films have taught us that the pharaohs forced slaves to build their monumental works, but scholarship suggests that builders may actually have been farm laborers and villagers who worked during the agricultural off-season as part of a New Deal-style program to keep them from starving while the Nile flooded their fields. They may have been very glad to get both work and reasonable rations while creating majestic works for the benefit of their country and for the glory of their gods.

So it seems fitting that Nobel Prize-winning author Thomas Mann conceived a story set in ancient Egypt inspired by his personal acquaintance with FDR and his admiration for the New Deal, which became the four-part masterpiece Joseph and His Brothers. Mann, persecuted by the Nazis for his criticism of their regime, found refuge in the United States, where he campaigned for Roosevelt and publicly endorsed the New Deal. He considered the social democratic ideals of the program to be a refutation of Nazism, and his presentation of Joseph's administration in Egypt was influenced by his view of the new rights that workers achieved under Roosevelt's leadership.

Today, the world is watching as modern Egyptians struggle to reconnect their government with the lives of workers and ordinary folks. In the post-Mubarak era, will they finally get a New Deal?

In the 21st century, labor conditions in Egypt have so far been atrocious, thanks in part, as I mentioned yesterday, to the eagerness of Mubarak to adopt Neoliberal policies centered on the privitization of public companies. Across the land, once-profitable companies have been sold below market prices and driven into ruin. For example, in 2004, the government sold a profitable publicly-owned glucose factory to a private group. In April 2010, the management claimed that it would shut down the factory for renovations, but instead dismantled the plant, laid off the workers with a miserable $100 severance, and began turning the grounds into a tourism development. Since Feburary 2011, workers have occupied the factory, demanding either their jobs or a decent severance.

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This new sense of empowerment can be felt across the country. Recently, Ahmed El-Borai, minister of manpower and immigration, let it be known that Egyptian workers would have the right to establish their own labor unions and federations. That's a big step in the right direction, and on Sunday, thousands of Egyptians waving red flags gathered in Cairo's Tahrir Square to celebrate their new freedoms. Under Mubarak, such an open gathering for the cause of workers' rights would have been unthinkable. The date chosen for the celebrations marked the anniversary of a General Strike in the United States in 1886, which began on May 1 (and subsequently called 'May Day'). The strikers, led by immigrant workers from around the globe, focused on securing the 8-hour work day and organized themselves as part of a wider series of rallies inspired by the Paris Commune in 1872.

The global solidarity among workers exhibited in the last few months has been a ray of sunshine during a stormy economic period fraught with widespread uncertainty. Sunday's Egyptian workers were galvanized by a strike in America in the 19th century, and they were also fully aware of and energized by the recent Wisconsin uprising. More than once, when I mentioned to an Egyptian that I was a blogger writing about American politics, a spontaneous cry of "Wisconsin!" followed. Back in February, in a flurry of cross-pollination, Egyptians carried signs celebrating Wisconsin in Tahrir Square and sent pizza to Wisconsin protesters, as those same protesters shouted out their support for the Egyptian revolution. Yesterday, when they gathered once again, Egyptian union members, students, and maligned workers felt themselves connected to their counterparts in every corner of the Earth.

Sunday's crowd in Tahrir Square included factory workers, members of the newly founded Federation of Independent Labor Unions, and members of newly-visible political parties, including the Workers Democratic Party, the Socialist Popular Alliance, the Egyptian Socialist Party, the Communist Party and the Revolutionary Socialists.  Workers voiced their goal to raise the minimum wage (now set at $67 per month) and set the maximum salary at no more than 15 times that amount. They demanded permanent contracts for temporary workers and a repeal of laws banning strikes and protests. Most of all, they called for the opportunity to work hard, to be treated fairly, and to provide a decent life for themselves and their families. These are fundamentally the same things American workers wanted under FDR. They are the same thing the French wanted during the Paris Commune. And they are the very same things that the Nile laborer desired as he watched the sun god Ra make his journey across the sky, beyond the pinnacle of the Great Pyramid his labor helped erect.

Lynn Parramore is the editor of New Deal 2.0, Media Fellow at the Roosevelt Institute fellow, co-founder of Recessionwire, and the author of Reading the Sphinx.

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