The House's Latest Health Care Vote Puts Campaign Cash Ahead of People

Jun 12, 2012Richard Kirsch

Congress shouldn't make working- and middle-class families pay for the repeal of a sales tax on one of America's most profitable industries.

Congress shouldn't make working- and middle-class families pay for the repeal of a sales tax on one of America's most profitable industries.

Last week the House voted to increase health care costs on middle-class families in order to protect one of the most profitable industries in the country. And almost nobody noticed. More than three dozen Democrats, oiled by campaign contributions, joined all 233 voting Republicans in voting for a repeal of a 2.3 percent sales tax on the medical device industry included in the Affordable Care Act. They voted to pay for the lost revenues by making families who are fortunate enough to get back on their feet pay more for health coverage.

The vote last week symbolizes most everything that is wrong about our politics, and in particular the politics around the Affordable Care Act, with one very welcome exception. The White House – not known for standing up tall – promised a veto of the legislation.  

One way that the Affordable Care Act will be paid for is by new taxes and reduced Medicare revenues from major segments of the health care industry. In return, health care providers will reap greater revenues from tens of millions newly insured people and improved health coverage for tens of millions more. Medical device manufacturers got off easy with the 2.3 percent sales tax considering that, according to Forbes, the industry is one of most profitable in the country (number one on return on assets, number four on return on sales, and number nine on return on equity).

That did not stop the medical device industry from fighting the tax with the usual cry wolf tactics, saying it will cost jobs and hurt small business. An editorial from, of all places, Bloomberg News takes the industry's arguments apart, one by one. The most glaring example is the charge by the industry’s trade association, AdvaMed, that the tax would cost 43,000 U.S. jobs as manufacturers moved offshore. But since the tax applies to all medical devices sold in the U.S., there is absolutely no advantage in moving jobs offshore. Doing so won’t reduce the tax by a nickel (or a yuan).

The members of Congress who are backing repeal of the tax, led by Minnesota Republican Erik Paulson, come from states where the medical device industry is big -- and so are its campaign contributions. Paulson raked in the third most contributions from the medical supply industry of any candidate for Congress ($64,100) this election cycle. He was topped by two senators from other states with big medical device industries: Utah’s Orin Hatch ($88,399) and Massachusetts’s Scott Brown ($82,150). But it’s not just Republicans. Democratic Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar ($63,650) ranks just after Paulson and she opposes the tax too. All together, the industry has contributed $2.9 million to congressional candidates this year. On top of that, the industry reported $31.7 million in lobbying in 2011.

So far, this is a pretty typical story of money and politics. What makes it more reprehensible – and increasingly typical – is that in the bill the House passed last week, the industry tax break would be directly paid for by struggling working- and middle-class families.

Starting in 2014, the Affordable Care Act will provide subsidies to these families to buy health coverage if they don’t get coverage at work. The financial help, in the form of a tax credit given up front, will limit the amount of a family’s income it must pay for health insurance premiums. Under the House bill, if a family’s economic status improved, they would have to pay back the full portion of the subsidy that reflects their increased income.

Think of what this means for a family that has been struggling financially, maybe out of work or working at low-wage, part-time jobs. They’ve been barely getting by and using up their savings, but finally they get back to work or find a job that pays a decent wage. And promptly the government demands a payback of some of the money given to the family to pay for health insurance.

The payback requirement will mean that some 350,000 people – mostly women, whose income fluctuates the most – will decide against applying for subsidies and remain uninsured because of the fear of having to pay the health insurance premium credits back when their income changes.

Because the new system of subsidies does not start until 2014, it is tough to make them seem real and politically salient now. If Congress voted to penalize people when millions of newly insured families were getting subsidies, the harsh impact on people’s lives would be easy to see and understand. But since nobody is affected right now, it is much harder to make a powerful argument.

That is true for all of the core elements of the ACA and the provisions that will extend coverage to some 32 million uninsured people. If the law survives the Supreme Court and the presidential election and is implemented in 2014, Americans will find out that they will no longer have to worry that losing theirs jobs means losing their health care or fret about being turned down for coverage due to a pre-existing condition. Then ObamaCare will be both understandable and popular. 

The Republican move to make families pay back the subsidies is not the first of its kind. When the ACA was enacted, there was no provision to pay any of the money back. But since then, Democrats have twice agreed to some payback provisions as a way to raise money for other purposes. Of course, that’s not enough for Republicans. They want to force families to pay every dime back in the medical device bill. This shows the folly of Democrats ever agreeing to anti-consumer provisions to placate Republicans; it simply emboldens them to ask for more.

President Obama seems to have learned that lesson. On June 6th, the Office of Management and Budget released a statement harshly criticizing the House bill, saying that it would “raise taxes on middle-income and low-income families, in many cases totaling thousands of dollars, not withstanding that they followed the rules.” That’s the kind of language that fits in with the president’s campaign themes and the message he needs to continue to trumpet throughout the country if both he and the ACA are to survive past November.

Richard Kirsch is a Senior Fellow at the Roosevelt Institute, a Senior Adviser to USAction, and the author of Fighting for Our Health. He was National Campaign Manager of Health Care for America Now during the legislative battle to pass reform.

 

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What Lies Behind Clinton's Remarks on Private Equity

Jun 7, 2012Jeff Madrick

Bill Clinton's remarks about Romney's record and the Bush tax cuts demonstrate his fealty to the financial sector.

Bill Clinton's remarks about Romney's record and the Bush tax cuts demonstrate his fealty to the financial sector.

We can attribute Bill Clinton making trouble for President Obama to his unquenchable need for the limelight. He first praised Mitt Romney’s business record and private equity practices in general. He then said the Bush tax cuts should be extended, without indicating that he agreed with Obama that the tax increases on the wealthy should be retained.

Clinton’s concern about raising taxes in the weak economy while cutting federal spending is right on. America is now practicing austerity, if a milder version than Europe’s. If not reversed, we could well have a recession again in 2013. And then what happens to the still-strained financial sector?

But Clinton’s remarks are disturbing for what they suggest about his tolerance for the financial class, for lack of a better term. Was it an accident that he left out any mention of raising taxes on the wealthy? The financial class dominates that group, if we include business execs who make a great deal of money from their stock options.

The real giveaway about Clinton is how he supports the financial industry’s assertions about the good done by private equity. We’ve addressed some of that in this space before. Clinton says flat-out that they do a good job. Does he have any evidence to demonstrate that? Has he looked at the evidence that undermines those assertions? Does he really think private equity was all about saving companies rather than exploiting the ability to borrow against their assets, cut them down, and then sell the company? Was it all about making America more productive and innovative? Come on.

This is of course the Bill Clinton who wholeheartedly gave us financial deregulation—no regulation of derivatives, no restraints on bank expansion as Glass-Steagall was undone, little concern by his SEC about over-speculation and analytical lying in investment firms, allowing CEOs to get enormous stock options, and so on.

He has apparently bought the assertion that the financial engineering of the past 20 years was mostly good. Of course, Wall Street is where the campaign money is.

In his most recent book, Clinton argued for stronger government, a welcome call. But he was the one who gave us less government.

Next week, we will post a thorough piece by economist Eileen Appelbaum on the good and bad of privatization. In the meantime, keep in mind that the heyday of privatizations, then known as Leveraged Buyouts, was the 1980s, when productivity growth for America remained historically slow. It did not rise again until the mid-1990s, with the advent of the Internet. The large, large share of productivity gains was in high technology and companies like Wal-Mart, not in the buyouts of companies by Bain and others.

Roosevelt Institute Senior Fellow Jeff Madrick is the Director of the Roosevelt Institute’s Rediscovering Government initiative and author of Age of Greed.

 

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New Deal Numerology: Unrecalled

Jun 7, 2012Tim Price

This week's numbers: 3; $30.5 million; 38%; 779; 18%

3... is a revocable number. That’s how many U.S. governors, including Scott Walker, have faced a recall election. Walker is the first to win, making him nearly as impressive as everyone who hasn’t almost been fired due to popular demand.

This week's numbers: 3; $30.5 million; 38%; 779; 18%

3... is a revocable number. That’s how many U.S. governors, including Scott Walker, have faced a recall election. Walker is the first to win, making him nearly as impressive as everyone who hasn’t almost been fired due to popular demand.

$30.5 million... is an outsourced number. That’s how much Walker raised, outmatching his opponent eight-to-one. Two-thirds came from outside the state as Wisconsin suddenly became the center of attention for corporate interests other than Big Cheddar.

38%... is a self-destructive number. That’s how many union households voted for Walker, a 1 percent increase from 2010. Since he took away their bargaining abilities, they’ve managed to skip right to acceptance in the stages of grief.

779... is a slim number. That’s the margin of votes that gave Democrats control of the state senate. But it’s not meeting until after the next election, which is a bit like winning a movie-screening pass that gets you in to watch the end credits.

18%... is a diversified number. That’s how many Walker voters also plan to support Barack Obama. They agree with him that we need to finish the job started during his first term; the job they have in mind just happens to be destroying workers' rights.

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Why a Strong Middle Class Is Necessary For Growth

May 18, 2012Mike Konczal

A new paper maps out the best progressive arguments about how inequality is hurting our economy.

It's great to get to watch the arguments against inequality in the United States being built in real time. On issues ranging from political corruption to a lack of a serious, sustained response to the economic crisis, people are telling sharper and more critical stories about why inequality should be a concern for the country. Which is important, as inequality is not going away.

A new paper maps out the best progressive arguments about how inequality is hurting our economy.

It's great to get to watch the arguments against inequality in the United States being built in real time. On issues ranging from political corruption to a lack of a serious, sustained response to the economic crisis, people are telling sharper and more critical stories about why inequality should be a concern for the country. Which is important, as inequality is not going away.

One of the issue areas where this has been lacking is long-term economic growth. The research has been substantial, but few have collected and curated it into a set of arguments for why inequality is bad for the health of our economy. This is one of the more important battles. The normal assumption is that inequality helps everyone by allowing the economic pie to grow as big and as quickly as it possibly can. The background thought animating this is that there's a serious tension between efficiency and equality -- to support equality is to necessarily sacrifice economic efficiency.

Heather Boushey and Adam S. Hersh from the Center for American Progress have a new paper out, "The American Middle Class, Income Inequality, and the Strength of Our Economy: New Evidence in Economics," that summarizes the case for why inequality can damage the economy. They start by reviewing the literature trying to link income inequality and growth, and find that the link is, if anything, in the other direction. "Roland Benabou of Princeton University surveyed 23 studies analyzing the relationship between inequality and growth. Benabou found that about half (11) of the studies showed inequality has a significant and strongly negative effect on growth; the other half (12) showed either a negative but inconsistently significant relationship or no relationship at all. None of the studies surveyed found a positive relationship between inequality and growth."

But why should this be? If the long-term health of the economy is driven by human capital, savings, and technology, what does inequality have to do with anything? Here is where they create a map of the arguments through which a strong middle class and a more egalitarian distribution of income can build long-term growth:

We have identified four areas where literature points to ways that the strength of the middle class and the level of inequality affect economic growth and stability:
 
A strong middle class promotes the development of human capital and a well educated population.
A strong middle class creates a stable source of demand for goods and services.
A strong middle class incubates the next generation of entrepreneurs.
A strong middle class supports inclusive political and economic institutions, which underpin economic growth.
They pull together the current research, as well as the range of supporting evidence, for each point. They focus on how educational attainment is becoming more tied to parents' income, the instability of growth and macroeconomic risks to weak middle-class demand, the fact that the Kauffman Foundation found that less than 1 percent of entrepreneurs come from extremely poor or extremely rich backgrounds, and the way inequality is involved with our polarized politics. All of these have consequences for our economy.
 
The research will continue to move forward here. There's a lot of fascinating work done on the relationship between inequality, balance-sheet recessions, and slow recoveries right now. I'm interested in the way the government creates and enforces property changes under massive, entrenched inequality. Do exclusive, 1%-dominated political and economic institutions produce property regimes -- high rents from patents, repressive creditor/debtor relationships, all labor income from finance viewed as capital income for tax/regulatory purposes, privatization of public goods, corporation structures predisposed for financialization -- that are terrible for growth?
 
This paper gives us the best up-to-date arguments that progressives discussing inequality should understand inside out. I thought I was fairly versed in these arguments, and I learned a ton from it. As they say, read the whole thing.
 

Mike Konczal is a Fellow at the Roosevelt Institute.

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Occupy is Right: It's the Economy, Stupid. And Don't Forget Democracy.

May 1, 2012Richard Kirsch

Fights for economic and environmental justice must also incorporate the fight against big money's hold on our political system.

Most people remember the famous sign in the Clinton campaign war room in 1992 as “It’s the economy stupid!” But what is often forgotten is the second phrase in the admonition to Clinton campaigners to keep a sharp focus on the campaign’s message: “And don’t forget health care.”

Fights for economic and environmental justice must also incorporate the fight against big money's hold on our political system.

Most people remember the famous sign in the Clinton campaign war room in 1992 as “It’s the economy stupid!” But what is often forgotten is the second phrase in the admonition to Clinton campaigners to keep a sharp focus on the campaign’s message: “And don’t forget health care.”

Today, the sign should read, “It’s the economy stupid. And don’t forget democracy.” That advice was provided recently by the pollster who worked on Clinton’s 1992 campaign, Stan Greenberg. In an opinion piece in the New York Times, Greenberg summarized the views of many Americans as, “There’s just such a control of government by the wealthy that whatever happens, it’s not working for all the people; it’s working for a few of the people… They think that the game is rigged and that the wealthy and big industries get policies that reinforce their advantage. And they do not think their voices matter.”

Unlike most advocates for economic justice or democracy who have separated the issues, the Occupiers got this right from the beginning. They clearly see economic inequality, corporate power, and the capture our democracy by big money as a unified problem. The “we are the 99%" meme embraces both gracefully: We can’t have an economy that works for the 99% until we put our democracy in the hands of the 99%.

I recently wrote a strategic paper for the Piper Fund, an arm of the Proteus Fund, on a comprehensive strategy to fight the stranglehold that big money has on our democracy. I found in dozens of interviews that Occupy gave much needed encouragement to campaign finance reformers who were reeling in the aftermath of Citizens United. But Occupy provides more than a moral boost -- it provides a way out of the dead end that both campaigners for economic justice and political reform have found themselves in.

The way forward is for champions of reforms in money and politics to become closely allied with champions of economic justice and other issues of pressing concern, particularly the environment. This must be a reciprocal alliance, a partnership, because champions of those pushing for an economy of shared prosperity or a sustainable environment will be unable to rally people to their issues unless they take on the control of our government by corporations and other well-financed interests

The good news is that many advocates for both campaign finance reform and issues of economic and environmental justice understand this. As I talked with dozens of activists and funders in all three areas of work, the strategy that was most often proposed was to intimately link specific issues to money and politics and to do so in every sphere: communications, organizing and mobilization, legislative advocacy, and electoral accountability.

As one longtime campaign finance reformer told me, “We need to build a populist movement that will have energy. We need to take what people get about corporate money and elections and turn cynicism into movement and action. We need to stop talking about campaign finance reform – it puts people to sleep – and talk about democracy in terms of jobs, economy, and environment.”

Our actions and words must point the way to broad policy solutions as well, because people need to have some basic understanding of how we can create an economy and democracy that works for all of us. Demonstrating against Wall Street must be linked with policies that create broad-based prosperity, which are achieved through democratic reforms. All of us – Occupy included – can incorporate policies that people can easily grasp without becoming deadly wonky. So we can say, “Tax Wall Street speculation to pay for Main Street job creation.” And, “Elect candidates with small contributions from the 99%, instead of mega-contributions from the 1%.”

In an age where our politics are so dominated by concentrated economic and political power, it is hard to grasp the possibility of fundamental change. We can read Justice Brandeis’s observation almost 100 years ago that “We can have democracy in this country, or we can have great wealth concentrated in the hands of a few, but we can’t have both” as either a warning that plutocracy will destroy our nation or a prediction that the contradictions of plutocracy will provide the pathway to a transformation. In FDR’s day, the nation made that transformation. It is up to us to make it again in the next New Deal. 

Richard Kirsch is a Senior Fellow at the Roosevelt Institute, a Senior Adviser to USAction, and the author of Fighting for Our Health. He was National Campaign Manager of Health Care for America Now during the legislative battle to pass reform.

 

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Cato vs. Koch and the Importance of Nonpartisan, Opinionated Think Tanks

Mar 21, 2012Mark Schmitt

Think tanks that serve the interests of a particular party won't decrease the power of lobbyists.

Think tanks that serve the interests of a particular party won't decrease the power of lobbyists.

In yesterday's post, I discussed the theory of lobbying as a "legislative subsidy" to under-staffed members of Congress and discussed a proposal to diffuse the influence of lobbyists by paying congressional staff more. I argued that a major push by conservatives had been to dismantle or discredit independent sources of analysis, such as the Office of Technology Assessment, but that the same effect could be achieved by creating more shared resources.

Another independent resource for information and analysis comes from think tanks, and this connects the debate over lobbying and money to the argument about whether think tanks are becoming "too political," as Tevi Troy of the Hudson Institute asked in an important recent article in National Affairs. That the question had immediate relevance became apparent when Charles and David Koch filed suit (that is, asked for help from the government) to take control of the libertarian Cato Institute. The dispute itself is confusing and seems to reveal a strange management structure in which Cato was controlled not by its board, like most non-profits, but by a small group of people who called themselves "shareholders." But the Kochs' underlying complaint seems to be that Cato was too independent and was not serving the political interests represented by other groups the Kochs back, such as Americans for Prosperity.

Troy argued in the Washington Post last weekend that "the dispute is tarnishing Cato's reputation as a place that can provide nonpartisan, if not non-ideological, research." There's an important distinction here: Cato obviously has a viewpoint. It is libertarian. But as Troy implicitly accepts, having a viewpoint, or ideology, doesn't necessarily hurt the credibility of a paper or argument coming from Cato or another think tank. If I read something from Cato, I'm reasonably confident that it will be a solid libertarian argument for a particular position and that the facts in it will be basically accurate, even if I might draw a different conclusion. The distinction between "nonpartisan" and "non-ideological" that Troy draws works well in the case of Cato, because libertarianism exists orthagonally to the current political parties. Making Cato more useful to Republican candidates and causes, as the Kochs seemingly would do, would be a huge shift.

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Having a viewpoint, especially one that is known and public, can be a great strength for a think tank. On the center-left, the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, for example, has a general point of view about the importance of the social safety net, and its analyses are considered impeccable. As politics has shifted and become more sharply partisan, they may have fewer Republican friends and probably find themselves critiquing, say, Paul Ryan's budget proposals more harshly than Democratic ones. But their north star is not the current interests of a political party. As Troy shows (drawing heavily on the work of former Roosevelt Institute president Andrew Rich), think tanks naturally evolved from the technocratic quasi-universities of the Brookings Institution and the Rand Corporation to be more open and explicit about their ideological assumptions. That's a healthy development, just as it is healthy for the media to abandon the "view from nowhere" and be more open about their assumptions.

But not everyone wants reliable, solid analysis. For the same reasons that the Gingrich Republicans eliminated the OTA, their 2012 counterparts would take down Cato and make it into something more reliably useful to their immediate interests. A think tank that serves the political interests of a party, or the economic interests of its backers, can't help at all in offsetting the legislative subsidy provided by lobbyists. In fact, it increases their monopoly.

You don't have to agree with the Cato Institute to see that there's more at stake here than just the meaning of an old agreement among a bunch of libertarians.

Mark Schmitt is a Senior Fellow and Director of the Fellows Program at the Roosevelt Institute.

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Diffusing the Power of Lobbyists' "Legislative Subsidy" on Congress

Mar 20, 2012Mark Schmitt

How to make sure congressmen have the information they need without relying on special interests?

How to make sure congressmen have the information they need without relying on special interests?

Thanks in part to Lawrence Lessig's excellent book Republic, Lost, out recently, a new way of thinking about lobbying has entered public discourse: Lobbying as "legislative subsidy." In this view (which originated in an article in the American Political Science Review in 2006), lobbyists aren't entirely in the persuasion business. Rather, a large part of what they do is to help already friendly but under-staffed and not-always-smart legislators understand complex issues and figure out how to do their jobs. At The Atlantic, Pascal-Emmanuel Gobry proposes offsetting the leverage of lobbyists by "adding more money to the system," giving members of Congress $20 million staff budgets (versus about $1.3 million today) and paying congressional chiefs of staff $1 million.

I can't tell whether Gobry's proposal is serious or satirical, but it's worth taking the whole idea, if not his numbers, seriously. Congress is under-staffed given the complexity of the issues members have to deal with, and staffers, like all public employees, are often underpaid. (Measured against the dubious standard of "what they could be making," rather than, say, the U.S. median household income.) The best tend to leave after a few years, whether for the more lucrative opportunities offered by lobbying or lawyering or simply for a more family-friendly work life.

But as Lessig points out, "legislative subsidy" is hardly benign, especially when it moves from big questions like union organizing rights to more technical ones like financial regulation or copyright, the issue that drove him into thinking about money and politics. And there are issues on which lobbyists are standing by on all sides to offer their "subsidy." For example, Congress spent more time last year on the "credit card swipe fee" issue, which pitted credit card companies and their lobbyists against big retailers and theirs, than any other.  Issues like K-12 education have fewer lobbyists standing by to offer their friendly subsidy.

Buy a copy of The Unfinished Revolution: Voices from the Global Fight for Women’s Rights, featuring a chapter by Roosevelt Institute Senior Fellow Ellen Chesler.

For a good picture of what "legislative subsidy" lobbying looks like in wonky real life, and how it intersects with campaign money, there's nothing better than this long article from 2010 by Huffington Post reporters Ryan Grim and Arthur Delaney, about the House Financial Services Committee's debate on financial regulation. Financial Services is known as a "cash committee," not because of its jurisdiction but because members are able to raise money from the industry they oversee. Newly elected members of Congress, worried about cash for reelection, clamor for spots on that enormous committee. New members in turn tend to have younger, less experienced staff, who may have stellar academic credentials but don't know anything about financial regulation. They, in turn, are easy prey for lobbyists.

Gobry's proposal is classically libertarian: if individual members lack information, give each individual member more resources to develop information on his own and to hire people with more experience to sort out the competing claims. But there's no reason those resources have to go to individuals. They can be shared resources. For example, before the Republican takeover of Congress in 1994, there was an institution called the Office of Technology Assessment, which could undertake highly wonky analyses for members of Congress. There were caucuses with independent staff, such as the Northeast-Midwest Coalition, which provides all sorts of analysis on issues of importance to the two regions (and which still exists as a privately funded operation).

Destroying some of these independent resources, and discrediting those that remained, was not just an irresponsible means of saving money. It was a central part of the conservative project, and remains so. One way to think of it is as a means to ensure that the "legislative subsidy" remains in private control.

Another independent resource for legislators and other public officials is think tanks. That's why the current battle over control of the CATO Institute and the debate over the "politicization" of think tanks sparked by a recent article by Tevi Troy is so important and so connected to debates about money and influence. I'll have more to say on this in a second post tomorrow.

Mark Schmitt is a Senior Fellow and Director of the Fellows Program at the Roosevelt Institute.

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Jeff Madrick and Tom Ferguson Sound Off on Real Messages of the SOTU

Jan 27, 2012Bryce Covert

After Obama's State of the Union on Tuesday, Roosevelt Institute Senior Fellows Jeff Madrick and Tom Ferguson took to the airwaves to dissect it. Was there substance behind the soaring rhetoric? Can the proposed policies really solve our economic ills?

Jeff Madrick joined Eliot Spitzer on Keith Olbermann's Countdown, and his analysis could be summed up as: "It was a tougher speech than I expected."

After Obama's State of the Union on Tuesday, Roosevelt Institute Senior Fellows Jeff Madrick and Tom Ferguson took to the airwaves to dissect it. Was there substance behind the soaring rhetoric? Can the proposed policies really solve our economic ills?

Jeff Madrick joined Eliot Spitzer on Keith Olbermann's Countdown, and his analysis could be summed up as: "It was a tougher speech than I expected."

Despite what some naysaying economic advisers may be telling President Obama, "he said forget about all those constraints," Jeff pointed out. "Let me go after the Chinese, let me develop some tax breaks, let me develop some tax penalties." Those FDR fans among us may remember his famous welcoming of Wall Street's hatred, a stance Obama has mostly shied away from. Yet, as Jeff notes, not only did he go after Republicans in Congress and big oil, "he said some pretty nasty things about Wall Street."

His policy proposals were important too, Jeff said. "Few things are as unambiguous as a need as updating the American infrastructure," and that was a big part of his "constant mention of jobs." Plus there was a heavy emphasis on bringing back manufacturing, although the question remains as to whether that's really possible.

Meanwhile, Tom Ferguson, while "intrigued" by some of the policies, was "underwhelmed" overall. He told Paul Jay of the Real News Network that "when you start to look at the details" of Obama's proposals, they're "almost meaningless."


More at The Real News

Take the plan to have a massive mortgage refinancing program. That could be "a really striking thing and it would likely have a huge effect on the economy," Tom said. But "their record in the last three years is they keep announcing programs and they all fail." Plus the taskforce on mortgage abuses "looks to me like an effort to to rein in the attorneys general" at the state level, he said.

Things were worse when it came to the "utter tameness" of the ideas around money in politics, Tom said. While banning Congress from insider trading is a good idea, "he's not really touching the essence of the money in politics problem," he points out. "He's basically punted on that one." What could he have proposed that would work? "You could do a lot by simply making the federal election commission a serious part of the civil service to get it out from under its ridiculous domination by Congress," Tom suggests. It's not just Citizens United that should be on reformers' radars.

And overall, while some of the economic policies may sound good, the underlying push from the administration for austerity and a focus on the deficit went unaddressed. "My guess is that these folks are not planning to change course on the economy," he concludes.

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SOTU Name Checks Tax Reform and Campaign Finance but Misses Key Points

Jan 25, 2012Mark Schmitt

President Obama raised some very important issues but still isn't focused on the real roots of the problems.

President Obama raised some very important issues but still isn't focused on the real roots of the problems.

President Obama's third State of the Union address was certainly a masterful performance, delivered with a sense that he'd finally gained command of both the political and policy demands of the office. (Ryan Lizza's brilliant article yesterday on the early decision making around economic stimulus struck me as a sharp reminder of how far Obama was from that mastery in 2009. But, not to make excuses, nobody arrives in the Oval Office knowing how to do the job of President of the United States.) It also contained a wonderful statement of the social contract, the idea that people who acquire skills and work hard should be assured of the basic economic security that allows them to take advantage of opportunity.

Plenty of praise will be heaped on the speech, so instead of layering on, I have two small gripes. First, it goes without saying that Obama's reaffirmation of the "Buffet Rule" -- that millionaires shouldn't pay a lower tax rate than salaried employees such as Warren Buffet's secretary, who sat in Michelle Obama's section of the gallery -- resonated brilliantly with Mitt Romney's tax returns, released the same day. Mitt Romney's effective tax rate is not only lower than Buffett's secretary, it's probably even lower than Buffet's, at just 13.9 percent.

But Obama's focus on millionaires misses the big lesson of Romney's returns. They're not different just because the numbers are bigger. (Although they are very big -- even the trivial numbers that make an ordinary upper-middle-class tax return seem complex, like the credit for foreign taxes paid by a mutual fund, is in the high six figures for Romney.) But the real difference in Romney's return is that it doesn't look like mine or yours. There are no 1040s badly stapled onto the front page. It's an entirely different world, comprised of capital gains and more capital gains, a few dividends, and some interest.

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And that should be the point. It's not that Romney's a millionaire, or multi-millionaire. There are surely other millionaires who make as much money as Romney or more but pay a far higher tax rate because all or part of it is in salary and none of it moves through the Cayman Islands. The real "Buffet Rule" should not be focused on the amount of income at all. It's not, as Obama put it last night, that millionaires should pay at least 30 percent. It's that all income should be taxed at the same rate, whether it comes from wages, salary, capital gains, dividends, interest, carried interest, or some new form just being invented by the rocket scientists.

I was also a bit disappointed by the section of the speech on money in politics. As we see the emergence of Super PACs and a full return to the Watergate-era culture, the beginning of this election is a teachable moment, as they say, an opportunity to lay out an alternative vision in which public financing, broad participation, and reasonable regulation offset the Super PACs. Instead, Obama focused on two minor, distracting issues. He called for a ban on insider trading by members of Congress, responding to claims by Jack Abramoff, Peter Schweizer of the Hoover Institution, and an ancient, dubious academic study. There's nothing wrong with prohibiting members of Congress from using inside information, but it really isn't a significant element of corruption, in part because Congress is still a fairly open institution. If as an ordinary member you know that some bill or amendment is going to pass, chances are that lots of other people do as well. (The real corruption has been members being given early access to initial public offerings, but that has nothing to do with information and wouldn't be affected by an insider trading ban.)

Getting more directly at the reality of money in politics, Obama called for prohibiting "bundlers" of political money from lobbying "and vice versa" -- that is, banning campaign contributions from lobbyists. A federal circuit court recently upheld North Carolina's ban on contributions from lobbyists, but this will still, if it passes, pose an interesting constitutional question about whether either donating (in regulated amounts) or lobbying are protected rights. Still, the focus on lobbyists, which has been the hallmark of the Obama administration's ethics agenda from the beginning, is far too narrow. As the example of Newt Gingrich's work for Freddie Mac and pharmaceutical companies shows, the real influence peddlers never bother with the proletarian business of "registering" as lobbyists. And most of the money that corrupts and distorts politics comes from wealthy individuals who aren't lobbyists, but who can certainly make their interests known to the politicians they support.

What Obama's version of the Buffett rule and the two congressional ethics proposals have in common is that they are interesting ideas but far too narrowly focused. In all three cases, they are targeting people -- millionaires, lobbyists -- when they should instead be focused on the thing: money.

Mark Schmitt is a Senior Fellow and Director of the Fellows Program at the Roosevelt Institute.

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Super PACs Keep Zombie Candidates Alive

Jan 11, 2012Mark Schmitt

Candidates used to worry that their funding wouldn't match their support. Now money keeps them shambling forward long after the voters have fled.

Candidates used to worry that their funding wouldn't match their support. Now money keeps them shambling forward long after the voters have fled.

Robert Farmer, a legendary Democratic fundraiser of the 1980s and 1990s, once described how presidential campaigns ended: "People don't lose campaigns. They run out of money and can't get their planes in the air. That's the reality." Most candidates would run out of money long before they ran out of potential votes or plausible paths to victory. The winner of the nomination would often be the candidate with enough financial reserves to keep going when the others couldn't afford jet fuel, and Farmer's skill was in making sure that his candidates -- Michael Dukakis in 1988 and Bill Clinton in 1992 -- had that advantage.

That was the reality in 1992, but it's not the reality today, especially on the Republican side. On the day after the New Hampshire primary, we now have a phenomenon in which a number of candidates who really have no possibility of winning their party's nomination will keep going only because they can -- because the money is there, either in their own campaign accounts or in a Super PAC committed to supporting the campaign, such as the pro-Newt Gingrich group into which casino billionaire Sheldon Adelson recently dumped $5 million.

So whereas in the 1990s we had candidates who died prematurely -- they ran out of money while they still had a chance -- we now have, in effect, zombie candidates. They're alive and can spend money and attack Mitt Romney even though their actual political lives are over. Rick Perry is not going to be the Republican nominee for president. (He joins a short list of well-financed Texans, including John Connally in 1980 and Phil Gramm in 2000, who spent many millions of dollars to win one or fewer delegates to the Republican convention.) Newt Gingrich is not going to be the Republican nominee. Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Buddy Roemer, Rick Santorum -- same deal. But they've got money and nothing to lose, and it seems they've all developed a personal distaste for Romney, so they will throw everything they've got at the nominee -- including attacks on his "vulture capitalism" at Bain Capital -- without regard to the consequences.

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In the old system, money really mattered. It made or broke campaigns. Mostly it broke them. But it was the lack of money that really shaped the system. It was an invisible primary in which many candidates were excluded either before it started or soon into it. In the mid-1990s, Gingrich declared in a congressional hearing, "There's not enough money in politics," comparing political spending to the much larger marketing budgets for cereal and toilet paper. It was a declaration as shocking to the right-thinking reformers as the Sex Pistols' version of "God Save the Queen," but Gingrich was right at the time. The perennial gripe about "too much money in politics," or its promise to "get money out of politics," didn't reflect reality -- lack of money shaped politics as much as money itself. This was an era when losing presidential campaigns ran out of juice on $10 million or so, and candidates failed to mount a competitive race for Congress because they couldn't raise $1 million.

But now the cliché of the past -- that there's too much money in politics -- has become a reality. That's probably going to be true on the Democratic side as well, definitely in the presidential race but probably also in many congressional contests. In a way, money matters less -- more candidates will meet the threshold to be competitive. But it's also moved to a scale where everything changes. Money becomes an end in itself. It shapes the behavior of campaign consultants, who can now become very, very rich. It's increasingly disconnected from candidates themselves or the incentives that might make sense for them. And it reaches beyond the campaign itself -- Gingrich is just one example of a candidate who is essentially in the race for money. His renewed prominence will generate speakers' fees, and book and video sales, that will continue to fuel his lifestyle. Politics no longer comes at a cost; it's a fundraising opportunity.

The post-Citizens United world of campaign finance obviously calls for some rethinking of solutions. My own reform preferences, which center on public financing, are best suited for a world in which lack of money matters as much as overwhelming money. And that's still important. But we also need to confront the challenges of a world in which "too much money in politics" is not just a stale cliché, but the reality. A bunch of zombie candidates attacking Mitt Romney with money to burn might be welcome for Democrats, who can use their research and language in the fall, but it's no more the ideal democratic process than was the old one, when candidates had to quit because they ran out of money, not votes. We need a campaign finance system that both limits the excesses and gives real candidates a means to be heard.

Mark Schmitt is a Senior Fellow and Director of the Fellows Program at the Roosevelt Institute.

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